Home Investment Memo: CENTUM

Investment Memo: CENTUM

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Our Rating: OBSERVE & HOLD

Mehabe score: 2
G Factor: 2
Piotski Score: 4
The stock has a rating OBSERVE & HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 2 and Piotski score of 4.

Description

Centum Electronics is engaged in the business of designs, manufactures and also exports electronic products. It also provides design services to its customers.Site: CENTUM

Market Cap: Rs 537 cr Price: 417.0 Trading pe: 20.4x
Book-value: 164/share Div yield: 0.60 % Earning yield: 7.70%
Face-value: 10.0/share 52week high: 490.00 52week low: 235.30

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 417.0, above its 50dma 407.76. It also trades above its 200dma 384.18. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 490.00 and the 52week low is at 235.30

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

Weakness

– Stock is trading at 2.54 times its book value
– has low interest coverage ratio.
– has a low return on equity of 4.73% for last 3 years.
-Dividend payout has been low at 10.74% of profits over last 3 years

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 15.9x. Nitiraj Engineer trades at the industry’s max P/E of 27.96x. CENTUM trades at a P/E of 20.4x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 3.3 while the mean Piotski score is 7.0. CENTUM has a G-Factor of 2 and Piotski scoreof 4.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 31.1%. The max 1- month return was given by Kernex Microsys.: a return of 64.09 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Mar 2021 is Rs 206.51 cr compared to Rs 228.56 cr for period ended Mar 2020, a fall of 9.6%
  • Operating Profits reported at Rs 18.08 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis 27.11 for period ended Mar 2020 .
  • Operating Margins contracted -310.6 bps for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Mar 2020 .
  • The EPS for Mar 2021 was Rs 0.84 compared to Rs 5.55 for previous quarter ended Dec 2020 and Rs 2.11 for Mar 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 817.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 883.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, a fall of 8.1%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at 1.6%.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs 16.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 20.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, falling 0%.

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

    Sales Growth

    Profit Growth Statement

    Profit Growth Statement

    Stock Price CAGR

    Return of Equity

    General Comments

    – The company has improved its Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was 9.0% compared to 5.0% over the last 3 Years.
    – The stock has given a return of 74% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of -4% over the last 3 Years.
    – The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is -9% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of 9% over the last 3 Years.
    – The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is -25% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of -15% over the last 3 Years.

    Ratios

    Shareholding Pattern

    – FII shareholding has remained largely constant. The Mar 2021 fii holding stood at 0.0% vis-vis 0.0% for Dec 2020
    – Public shareholding has fallen for the period ended Mar 2021. The Mar 2021 public holding stood at 34.63% vis-vis 37.12% for Dec 2020

    Conclusion

    – – Stock is trading at 2.54 times its book value
    – has low interest coverage ratio.
    – has a low return on equity of 4.73% for last 3 years.
    -Dividend payout has been low at 10.74% of profits over last 3 years

    • Fundamentally, the stock remains weak on business fundamentals. Weak near term results have dampened and questioned business drivers. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
    • Technically, the stock trades above its 50 DMA 407.76 and is trading at 417.0 It has shown near term bullish momentum contrary to business fundamentals. We suggest to observe price action. However as investors, who like to avoid timing the markets, we suggest to avoid the stock
    • Thus, overall, we retain a OBSERVE & HOLD.

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