Investment Memo: EICHERMOT

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Our Rating: HOLD

Mehabe score: 4
G Factor: 4
Piotski Score: 5
The stock has a rating HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 4 and Piotski score of 5.

Description

Eicher Motors Limited, incorporated in 1982, is the listed company of the Eicher Group in India and a leading player in the Indian automobile industry and the global leader in middleweight motorcycles.
Eicher has a joint venture with Sweden’s AB Volvo to create Volvo Eicher Commercial Vehicles Limited (VECV). VECV is engaged in truck and bus operations, auto components business, and technical consulting services businessSite: EICHERMOTMain Symbol: EICHERMOT

Price Chart

Market Cap: Rs 68,947 cr Price: 2522.0 Trading pe: 41.3x
Book-value: 422/share Div yield: 0.67 % Earning yield: 3.13%
Face-value: 1.00/share 52week high: 3037.00 52week low: 2015.20

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 2522.0, below its 50dma 2743.79 and below its 200dma 2591.18. The stock remains bearish on technicals
  • The 52 week high is at 3037.00 and the 52week low is at 2015.20

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– has reduced debt.
– is almost debt free.
– is expected to give good quarter
– has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 22.88%

Weakness

– The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 7.15% over past five years.

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 32.7x. Eicher Motors trades at the industry’s max P/E of 41.31x. EICHERMOT trades at a P/E of 41.3x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 3.7 while the mean Piotski score is 5.0. EICHERMOT has a G-Factor of 4 and Piotski scoreof 5.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 3.5%. The max 1- month return was given by TVS Motor Co.: a return of 26.06 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Sep 2021 is Rs 2250.0 cr compared to Rs 2134.0 cr for period ended Sep 2020, a rise of 5.4%
  • Operating Profits reported at Rs 470.0 cr for period ended Sep 2021 vis-vis 467.0 for period ended Sep 2020 .
  • Operating Margins contracted -99.5 bps for period ended Sep 2021 vis-vis Sep 2020 .
  • The EPS for Sep 2021 was Rs 13.65 compared to Rs 8.67 for previous quarter ended Jun 2021 and Rs 12.57 for Sep 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 9992.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 8720.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, a healthy growth of 12.7%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at 0.7%.
  • Operating margins expanded to 21.0% for period ended TTM vis-vis 20.0% for period ended Mar 2021, expansion of 100.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs 1669.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 1347.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, rising 19.3%.
  • Company reported a poor Net Profit CAGR of -8.8% over the last 3 years

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

  • CashFlow from operating activities was positive.
  • CashFlow from operating activities: Rs 1714.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Rs 1694.0 cr for period ended Mar 2020

Sales Growth

Profit Growth Statement

Profit Growth Statement

Stock Price CAGR

Return of Equity

General Comments

– The company has worsened on its Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was 13.0% compared to 19.0% over the last 3 Years.
– The stock has given a return of 20% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of 4% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is 33% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of -1% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is 53% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of -12% over the last 3 Years.

Ratios

Shareholding Pattern

– FII shareholding has remained largely constant. The Sep 2021 fii holding stood at 30.28% vis-vis 28.83% for Jun 2021
– Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Sep 2021 public holding stood at 11.76% vis-vis 12.36% for Jun 2021

Conclusion

– has reduced debt.
– is almost debt free.
– is expected to give good quarter
– has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 22.88% – The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 7.15% over past five years.

  • The business fundamentals of the stock remain stable. Stronger near term results will build interest in the stock. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
  • Technically, the stock remains below its 50 DMA 2743.79 and is trading at 2522.0. Shows a near term lack of buying interest.
  • Thus, overall we retain a HOLD on the stock.

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