Home Investment Memo: GICHSGFIN

Investment Memo: GICHSGFIN

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Our Rating: HOLD

Mehabe score: 5
G Factor: 5
Piotski Score: 7
The stock has a rating HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 5 and Piotski score of 7.

Description

GIC Housing Finance is engaged in the Housing Finance business and revenues are mainly derived from this activity.(Source : 201903 Annual Report Page No: 49)Site: GICHSGFINMain Symbol: GICHSGFIN

Price Chart

Market Cap: Rs 914 cr Price: 170.0 Trading pe: 8.66x
Book-value: 252/share Div yield: 1.18 % Earning yield: 7.95%
Face-value: 10.0/share 52week high: 202.55 52week low: 88.80

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 170.0, above its 50dma 166.13. It also trades above its 200dma 137.38. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 202.55 and the 52week low is at 88.80

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– Stock is trading at 0.67 times its book value
– has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 20.43%

Weakness

– has low interest coverage ratio.
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 7.02% over past five years.
– has a low return on equity of 8.60% for last 3 years.
– might be capitalizing the interest cost

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 23.5x. AAVAS Financiers trades at the industry’s max P/E of 67.73x. GICHSGFIN trades at a P/E of 8.66x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 4.1 while the mean Piotski score is 8.0. GICHSGFIN has a G-Factor of 5 and Piotski scoreof 7.
– Average 1 month return for industry is -8.9%. The max 1- month return was given by H D F C: a return of 4.46 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Mar 2021 is Rs 299.0 cr compared to Rs 313.0 cr for period ended Mar 2020, a fall of 4.5%
  • Operating Profits reported at Rs 2.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis 41.0 for period ended Mar 2020 .
  • Operating Margins contracted -1243.0 bps for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Mar 2020 .
  • The EPS for Mar 2021 was Rs 14.8 compared to Rs 11.32 for previous quarter ended Dec 2020 and Rs 4.91 for Mar 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 1230.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 1252.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, a fall of 1.8%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at 3.4%.
  • Operating margins expanded to 130.0% for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis 116.0% for period ended Mar 2020, expansion of 1400.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs 106.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 46.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, rising 56.6%.
  • Company reported a poor Net Profit CAGR of -19.9% over the last 3 years

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

  • CashFlow from operating activities was positive.
  • CashFlow from operating activities: Rs 548.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Rs 0.0 cr for period ended Mar 2020

Sales Growth

Profit Growth Statement

Profit Growth Statement

Stock Price CAGR

Return of Equity

General Comments

– The company has had stable/constant Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was 8.0% compared to 9.0% over the last 3 Years.
– The stock has given a return of 69% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of -21% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is -2% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of 3% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is 131% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of -20% over the last 3 Years.

Ratios

Shareholding Pattern

– FII shareholding has remained largely constant. The Jun 2021 fii holding stood at 0.15% vis-vis 0.14% for Mar 2021
– Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Jun 2021 public holding stood at 50.54% vis-vis 50.56% for Mar 2021

Conclusion

– Stock is trading at 0.67 times its book value
– has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 20.43% – has low interest coverage ratio.
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 7.02% over past five years.
– has a low return on equity of 8.60% for last 3 years.
– might be capitalizing the interest cost

  • The business fundamentals of the stock remain stable. Stronger near term results will build interest in the stock. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
  • Technically, the stock remains above its 50 DMA 166.13 and is trading at 170.0, thus bullish price action wise.
  • Thus, overall we retain a HOLD on the stock.

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