Home Investment Memo: GODFRYPHLP

Investment Memo: GODFRYPHLP

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Our Rating:

Mehabe score: 4
G Factor: 8
Piotski Score: 7
The stock has a rating . The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 8 and Piotski score of 7.

Description

Godfrey Phillips India is one of the largest FMCG companies in the country with many iconic cigarette brands like Four Square, Red & White, and Cavanders to its name. It also have an exclusive sourcing and supply agreement with Philip Morris International to manufacture and distribute the renowned Marlboro brand in India. #

Main Points

Increase in Market Share
During FY20, the company experienced a rise of 9.7% in the volume sales of its cigarettes and saw a rise in the domestic cigarette market share from 11.8% to 12.9%. #Site: GODFRYPHLPMain Symbol: GODFRYPHLP

Price Chart

Market Cap: Rs 5,508 cr Price: 1059.0 Trading pe: 14.6x
Book-value: 497/share Div yield: 2.27 % Earning yield: 8.97%
Face-value: 2.00/share 52week high: 1110.00 52week low: 831.85

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 1059.0, above its 50dma 954.66. It also trades above its 200dma 936.17. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 1110.00 and the 52week low is at 831.85

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– is almost debt free.
– has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 27.18%

Weakness

– The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 1.62% over past five years.

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 13.8x. ITC trades at the industry’s max P/E of 19.29x. GODFRYPHLP trades at a P/E of 14.6x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 6.0 while the mean Piotski score is 7.0. GODFRYPHLP has a G-Factor of 8 and Piotski scoreof 7.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 0.8%. The max 1- month return was given by Godfrey Phillips: a return of 12.43 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Mar 2021 is Rs 706.0 cr compared to Rs 592.0 cr for period ended Mar 2020, a rise of 19.3%
  • Operating Profits reported at Rs 157.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis 80.0 for period ended Mar 2020 .
  • Operating Margins expanded 872.4 bps for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Mar 2020 .
  • The EPS for Mar 2021 was Rs 18.32 compared to Rs 23.61 for previous quarter ended Dec 2020 and Rs 7.44 for Mar 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 2525.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 2877.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, a fall of 13.9%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at 2.8%.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs 377.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 385.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, falling 2.1%.
  • Company recorded a healthy Net Profit CAGR of 33.3% over the last 3 years

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

  • CashFlow from operating activities was positive.

Sales Growth

Profit Growth Statement

Profit Growth Statement

Stock Price CAGR

Return of Equity

General Comments

– The company has had stable/constant Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was 16.0% compared to 16.0% over the last 3 Years.
– The stock has given a return of 14% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of 15% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is -12% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of 3% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is -2% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of 33% over the last 3 Years.

Ratios

Shareholding Pattern

– FII shareholding has remained largely constant. The Mar 2021 fii holding stood at 10.55% vis-vis 10.66% for Dec 2020
– Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Mar 2021 public holding stood at 14.73% vis-vis 14.59% for Dec 2020

Conclusion

– is almost debt free.
– has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 27.18% – The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 1.62% over past five years.

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