Home Investment Memo: GTNIND

Investment Memo: GTNIND

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Our Rating: HOLD

Mehabe score: 6
G Factor: 4
Piotski Score: 5
The stock has a rating HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 4 and Piotski score of 5.

Description

GTN Industries is engaged in the business of Spinning and Doubling of Yarn.Site: GTNINDMain Symbol: GTNINDS

Price Chart

Market Cap: Rs 35.3 cr Price: 20.2 Trading pe: 37.6x
Book-value: 26.1/share Div yield: 0.00 % Earning yield: 13.58%
Face-value: 10.0/share 52week high: 26.35 52week low: 7.40

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 20.2, above its 50dma 11.54. It also trades above its 200dma 9.82. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 26.35 and the 52week low is at 7.40

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– Stock is trading at 0.77 times its book value
– is expected to give good quarter

Weakness

– has low interest coverage ratio.
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 2.07% over past five years.
– has a low return on equity of -17.09% for last 3 years.
-Promoters have pledged 51.21% of their holding.

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 8.4x. GTN Industries trades at the industry’s max P/E of 37.6x. GTNIND trades at a P/E of 37.6x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 4.2 while the mean Piotski score is 8.0. GTNIND has a G-Factor of 4 and Piotski scoreof 5.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 4.3%. The max 1- month return was given by Sutlej Textiles: a return of 20.16 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Sep 2021 is Rs 114.69 cr compared to Rs 78.82 cr for period ended Sep 2020, a rise of 45.5%
  • Operating Profits reported at Rs 20.57 cr for period ended Sep 2021 vis-vis 3.42 for period ended Sep 2020 .
  • Operating Margins expanded 1359.6 bps for period ended Sep 2021 vis-vis Sep 2020 .
  • The EPS for Sep 2021 was Rs -0.44 compared to Rs 0.66 for previous quarter ended Jun 2021 and Rs -1.57 for Sep 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 400.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 310.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, a healthy growth of 22.5%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at 3.9%.
  • Operating margins expanded to 13.0% for period ended TTM vis-vis 8.0% for period ended Mar 2021, expansion of 500.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs 3.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs -6.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, rising 0%.

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

  • CashFlow from operating activities was positive.
  • CashFlow from operating activities: Rs 35.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Rs 8.0 cr for period ended Mar 2020

Sales Growth

Profit Growth Statement

Profit Growth Statement

Stock Price CAGR

Return of Equity

General Comments

– The company has improved its Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was -13.0% compared to -17.0% over the last 3 Years.
– The stock has given a return of 146% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of 26% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is 21% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of 2% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is 106% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of 7% over the last 3 Years.

Ratios

Shareholding Pattern

– Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Sep 2021 public holding stood at 25.59% vis-vis 25.59% for Jun 2021

Conclusion

– Stock is trading at 0.77 times its book value
– is expected to give good quarter – has low interest coverage ratio.
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 2.07% over past five years.
– has a low return on equity of -17.09% for last 3 years.
-Promoters have pledged 51.21% of their holding.

  • The business fundamentals of the stock remain stable. Stronger near term results will build interest in the stock. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
  • Technically, the stock remains above its 50 DMA 11.54 and is trading at 20.2, thus bullish price action wise.
  • Thus, overall we retain a HOLD on the stock.

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