Home Investment Memo: HATSUN

Investment Memo: HATSUN

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Our Rating: HOLD

Mehabe score: 4
G Factor: 5
Piotski Score: 7
The stock has a rating HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 5 and Piotski score of 7.

Description

Hatsun Agro Product Limited has been in business for over 5 decades and achieved the position of the largest private-sector industry in the Dairy sector manufacturing and marketing Milk and Milk products, Ice-Cream, etc. # It was incorporated by Mr. R G Chandramogan, who has been in the dairy business for more than 30 years. # Its journey began with Arun Icecreams.

Main Points

Products and Brands
Hatsun Agro manufactures and markets:
Milk and Curd : Under the brand names “Arokya” and “Hatsun”. It has a HAP Daily store distribution network of 2500 outlets.Site: HATSUNMain Symbol: HATSUN

Price Chart

Market Cap: Rs 21,447 cr Price: 995.0 Trading pe: 86.3x
Book-value: 47.4/share Div yield: 0.30 % Earning yield: 2.11%
Face-value: 1.00/share 52week high: 1035.00 52week low: 459.00

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 995.0, above its 50dma 884.36. It also trades above its 200dma 757.87. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 1035.00 and the 52week low is at 459.00

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– has delivered good profit growth of 33.03% CAGR over last 5 years
– has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 61.09%

Weakness

– Stock is trading at 21.00 times its book value
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 10.09% over past five years.

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 52.1x. Tasty Bite Eat. trades at the industry’s max P/E of 125.29x. HATSUN trades at a P/E of 86.3x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 3.7 while the mean Piotski score is 8.0. HATSUN has a G-Factor of 5 and Piotski scoreof 7.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 10.4%. The max 1- month return was given by KRBL: a return of 29.78 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Jun 2021 is Rs 1545.0 cr compared to Rs 1279.0 cr for period ended Jun 2020, a rise of 20.8%
  • Operating Profits reported at Rs 178.0 cr for period ended Jun 2021 vis-vis 189.0 for period ended Jun 2020 .
  • Operating Margins contracted -325.6 bps for period ended Jun 2021 vis-vis Jun 2020 .
  • The EPS for Jun 2021 was Rs 2.71 compared to Rs 2.65 for previous quarter ended Mar 2021 and Rs 2.6 for Jun 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 5835.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 5570.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, a growth of 4.5%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at 7.0%.
  • Operating margins shrank to 13.0% for period ended TTM vis-vis 14.0% for period ended Mar 2021, contraction of 100.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs 249.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 246.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, rising 1.2%.
  • Company recorded a healthy Net Profit CAGR of 29.4% over the last 3 years

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

  • CashFlow from operating activities was positive.

Sales Growth

Profit Growth Statement

Profit Growth Statement

Stock Price CAGR

Return of Equity

General Comments

– The company has improved its Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was 26.0% compared to 20.0% over the last 3 Years.
– The stock has given a return of 103% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of 29% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is 13% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of 9% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is 112% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of 40% over the last 3 Years.

Ratios

Shareholding Pattern

– FII shareholding has remained largely constant. The Jun 2021 fii holding stood at 3.53% vis-vis 3.5% for Mar 2021
– Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Jun 2021 public holding stood at 15.73% vis-vis 15.88% for Mar 2021

Conclusion

– has delivered good profit growth of 33.03% CAGR over last 5 years
– has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 61.09% – Stock is trading at 21.00 times its book value
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 10.09% over past five years.

  • The business fundamentals of the stock remain stable. Stronger near term results will build interest in the stock. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
  • Technically, the stock remains above its 50 DMA 884.36 and is trading at 995.0, thus bullish price action wise.
  • Thus, overall we retain a HOLD on the stock.

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