Home Investment Memo: ICICIBANK

Investment Memo: ICICIBANK

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Our Rating: HOLD

Mehabe score: 6
G Factor: 5
Piotski Score: 5
The stock has a rating HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 5 and Piotski score of 5.

Description

ICICI Bank is a large private sector bank in India offering a diversified portfolio of financial products and services to retail, SME and corporate customers. The Bank has an extensive network of branches, ATMs and other touch-points.#

Main Points

Ratios (Q3FY21)
Capital Adequacy Ratio – 19.51%#
Net Interest Margin – 3.67%#
Gross NPA – 4.38%
Net NPA – 0.63%#
CASA Ratio – 41.8%Site: ICICIBANKMain Symbol: ICICIBANK

Price Chart

Market Cap: Rs 468,643 cr Price: 677.0 Trading pe: 25.5x
Book-value: 178/share Div yield: 0.30 % Earning yield: 5.12%
Face-value: 2.00/share 52week high: 679.40 52week low: 333.75

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 677.0, above its 50dma 637.67. It also trades above its 200dma 568.75. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 679.40 and the 52week low is at 333.75

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

Weakness

– Stock is trading at 3.81 times its book value
– has low interest coverage ratio.
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 8.50% over past five years.
– has a low return on equity of 9.10% for last 3 years.
-Contingent liabilities of Rs.3051454.79 Cr.
– might be capitalizing the interest cost
-Earnings include an other income of Rs.72173.82 Cr.

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 20.3x. Kotak Mah. Bank trades at the industry’s max P/E of 34.19x. ICICIBANK trades at a P/E of 25.5x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 3.9 while the mean Piotski score is 6.0. ICICIBANK has a G-Factor of 5 and Piotski scoreof 5.
– Average 1 month return for industry is -1.3%. The max 1- month return was given by ICICI Bank: a return of 6.72 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Jun 2021 is Rs 23097.0 cr compared to Rs 22423.0 cr for period ended Jun 2020, a rise of 3.0%
  • Operating Profits reported at Rs 22100.0 cr for period ended Jun 2021 vis-vis 22005.0 for period ended Jun 2020 .
  • Operating Margins contracted -245.2 bps for period ended Jun 2021 vis-vis Jun 2020 .
  • The EPS for Jun 2021 was Rs 6.86 compared to Rs 7.07 for previous quarter ended Mar 2021 and Rs 4.81 for Jun 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 89837.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 89163.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, a growth of 0.8%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at 7.7%.
  • Operating margins expanded to -44293.0% for period ended TTM vis-vis -46145.0% for period ended Mar 2021, expansion of 185200.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs 20014.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 18384.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, rising 8.1%.
  • Company recorded a healthy Net Profit CAGR of 67.6% over the last 3 years

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

  • CashFlow from operating activities was positive.
  • CashFlow from operating activities: Rs 138015.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Rs 79565.0 cr for period ended Mar 2020

Sales Growth

Profit Growth Statement

Profit Growth Statement

Stock Price CAGR

Return of Equity

General Comments

– The company has improved its Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was 15.0% compared to 9.0% over the last 3 Years.
– The stock has given a return of 77% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of 35% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is 5% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of 13% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is 92% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of 34% over the last 3 Years.

Ratios

Shareholding Pattern

– FII shareholding has remained largely constant. The Jun 2021 fii holding stood at 48.03% vis-vis 47.81% for Mar 2021
– Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Jun 2021 public holding stood at 10.02% vis-vis 10.06% for Mar 2021

Conclusion

– – Stock is trading at 3.81 times its book value
– has low interest coverage ratio.
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 8.50% over past five years.
– has a low return on equity of 9.10% for last 3 years.
-Contingent liabilities of Rs.3051454.79 Cr.
– might be capitalizing the interest cost
-Earnings include an other income of Rs.72173.82 Cr.

  • The business fundamentals of the stock remain stable. Stronger near term results will build interest in the stock. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
  • Technically, the stock remains above its 50 DMA 637.67 and is trading at 677.0, thus bullish price action wise.
  • Thus, overall we retain a HOLD on the stock.

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