Home Investment Memo: LUMAXIND

Investment Memo: LUMAXIND

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Our Rating: HOLD

Mehabe score: 2
G Factor: 4
Piotski Score: 6
The stock has a rating HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 4 and Piotski score of 6.

Description

Lumax Industries Limited is the flagship company of the DK Jain Group. It was founded as a trading company in 1945 and today it has evolved as market leader of automobile lighting in the Indian automotive industry. In 1984, company entered into a technical collaboration with Stanley Electric Co. Ltd., Japan (SECL), which currently holds around 37.5% equity stake in the company. Other 37.5% is held by Indian promoters (D.K. Jain and family). Company has 29 manufacturing facilities across 7 states in India.

Main Points

Leader in automotive lighting business:
Lumax has significant presence for over 7 decades. It is the largest supplier of automotive lighting solutions in the PV segment with ~60% market share. It has relations with almost 90% of OEMs in India.#Site: LUMAXIND

Market Cap: Rs 1,556 cr Price: 1667.0 Trading pe: 91.3x
Book-value: 411/share Div yield: 1.41 % Earning yield: 1.80%
Face-value: 10.0/share 52week high: 1820.00 52week low: 910.00

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 1667.0, above its 50dma 1593.31. It also trades above its 200dma 1470.13. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 1820.00 and the 52week low is at 910.00

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 33.09%

Weakness

– The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 2.63% over past five years.
-Contingent liabilities of Rs.1327.69 Cr.

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 32.6x. Minda Industries trades at the industry’s max P/E of 209.16x. LUMAXIND trades at a P/E of 91.3x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 4.1 while the mean Piotski score is 7.0. LUMAXIND has a G-Factor of 4 and Piotski scoreof 6.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 5.9%. The max 1- month return was given by Minda Industries: a return of 16.23 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Mar 2021 is Rs 504.0 cr compared to Rs 387.0 cr for period ended Mar 2020, a rise of 30.2%
  • Operating Profits reported at Rs 50.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis 34.0 for period ended Mar 2020 .
  • Operating Margins expanded 113.5 bps for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Mar 2020 .
  • The EPS for Mar 2021 was Rs 24.84 compared to Rs 14.61 for previous quarter ended Dec 2020 and Rs 24.75 for Mar 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 1426.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 1602.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, a fall of 12.3%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at -4.7%.
  • Operating margins shrank to 7.0% for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis 10.0% for period ended Mar 2020, contraction of 300.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs 17.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 72.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, falling 323.5%.
  • Company reported a poor Net Profit CAGR of -35.4% over the last 3 years

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

    Sales Growth

    Profit Growth Statement

    Profit Growth Statement

    Stock Price CAGR

    Return of Equity

    General Comments

    – The company has worsened on its Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was 4.0% compared to 15.0% over the last 3 Years.
    – The stock has given a return of 73% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of -10% over the last 3 Years.
    – The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is -11% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of -5% over the last 3 Years.
    – The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is -76% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of -35% over the last 3 Years.

    Ratios

    Shareholding Pattern

    – FII shareholding has remained largely constant. The Mar 2021 fii holding stood at 0.64% vis-vis 0.64% for Dec 2020
    – Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Mar 2021 public holding stood at 23.24% vis-vis 23.55% for Dec 2020

    Conclusion

    – has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 33.09% – The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 2.63% over past five years.
    -Contingent liabilities of Rs.1327.69 Cr.

    • The business fundamentals of the stock remain stable. Stronger near term results will build interest in the stock. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
    • Technically, the stock remains above its 50 DMA 1593.31 and is trading at 1667.0, thus bullish price action wise.
    • Thus, overall we retain a HOLD on the stock.

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