Home Investment Memo: MANAKALUCO

Investment Memo: MANAKALUCO

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Our Rating: HOLD

Mehabe score: 2
G Factor: 5
Piotski Score: 6
The stock has a rating HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 5 and Piotski score of 6.

Description

Manaksia Aluminium Company is primarily engaged in the manufacture of value-added secondary aluminium products like Aluminium Rolled Sheets / Coils.(Source : 201903 Annual Report Page No:86)Site: MANAKALUCO

Market Cap: Rs 129 cr Price: 19.6 Trading pe: x
Book-value: 15.8/share Div yield: 0.00 % Earning yield: 3.82%
Face-value: 1.00/share 52week high: 23.95 52week low: 6.15

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 19.6, above its 50dma 14.85. It also trades above its 200dma 10.33. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 23.95 and the 52week low is at 6.15

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

Weakness

– Though the company is reporting repeated profits, it is not paying out dividend
– has low interest coverage ratio.
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of -1.11% over past five years.
– has a low return on equity of 4.31% for last 3 years.

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 19.2x. Arfin India trades at the industry’s max P/E of 30.76x. MANAKALUCO trades at a P/E of x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 4.3 while the mean Piotski score is 7.0. MANAKALUCO has a G-Factor of 5 and Piotski scoreof 6.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 14.6%. The max 1- month return was given by Manaksia Alumi.: a return of 52.92 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Mar 2021 is Rs 88.3 cr compared to Rs 63.53 cr for period ended Mar 2020, a rise of 39.0%
  • Operating Profits reported at Rs 4.98 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis 5.41 for period ended Mar 2020 .
  • Operating Margins contracted -287.6 bps for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Mar 2020 .
  • The EPS for Mar 2021 was Rs 0.4 compared to Rs 0.34 for previous quarter ended Dec 2020 and Rs 0.4 for Mar 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 272.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 281.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, a fall of 3.3%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at 6.1%.
  • Operating margins shrank to 4.0% for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis 7.0% for period ended Mar 2020, contraction of 300.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs -3.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 6.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, falling 0%.

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

    Sales Growth

    Profit Growth Statement

    Profit Growth Statement

    Stock Price CAGR

    Return of Equity

    General Comments

    – The company has had stable/constant Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was 5.0% compared to 4.0% over the last 3 Years.
    – The stock has given a return of 220% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of 43% over the last 3 Years.
    – The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is -15% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of 6% over the last 3 Years.
    – The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is -162% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of 44% over the last 3 Years.

    Ratios

    Shareholding Pattern

    – Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Mar 2021 public holding stood at 28.01% vis-vis 28.01% for Dec 2020

    Conclusion

    – – Though the company is reporting repeated profits, it is not paying out dividend
    – has low interest coverage ratio.
    -The company has delivered a poor sales growth of -1.11% over past five years.
    – has a low return on equity of 4.31% for last 3 years.

    • The business fundamentals of the stock remain stable. Stronger near term results will build interest in the stock. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
    • Technically, the stock remains above its 50 DMA 14.85 and is trading at 19.6, thus bullish price action wise.
    • Thus, overall we retain a HOLD on the stock.

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