Investment Memo: OLECTRA

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Our Rating: OBSERVE & HOLD

Mehabe score: 6
G Factor: 3
Piotski Score: 4
The stock has a rating OBSERVE & HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 3 and Piotski score of 4.

Description

Olectra Greentech is engaged in the Business of Power Insulators and Electric Bus.Site: OLECTRA

Market Cap: Rs 1,522 cr Price: 185.0 Trading pe: x
Book-value: 88.7/share Div yield: 0.00 % Earning yield: 0.28%
Face-value: 4.00/share 52week high: 233.00 52week low: 53.00

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 185.0, above its 50dma 184.04. It also trades above its 200dma 151.63. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 233.00 and the 52week low is at 53.00

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– has reduced debt.
– is almost debt free.

Weakness

– has low interest coverage ratio.
-Promoter holding has decreased over last quarter: -3.35%
– has a low return on equity of -0.81% for last 3 years.
-Earnings include an other income of Rs.34.49 Cr.
– has high debtors of 658.46 days.
-‘s cost of borrowing seems high

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 26.3x. ITI trades at the industry’s max P/E of 53.86x. OLECTRA trades at a P/E of x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 3.0 while the mean Piotski score is 7.0. OLECTRA has a G-Factor of 3 and Piotski scoreof 4.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 27.9%. The max 1- month return was given by GTL Infra.: a return of 85.33 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Mar 2021 is Rs 147.88 cr compared to Rs 70.44 cr for period ended Mar 2020, a rise of 109.9%
  • Company reported operating profit of Rs 17.5 cr for period ended Mar 2021, operating profit margin at 11.8 %.
  • Operating profit was negative for the same period last year thus company has improved its margins this year
  • The EPS for Mar 2021 was Rs 1.18 compared to Rs 0.36 for previous quarter ended Dec 2020 and Rs 2.12 for Mar 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 281.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 201.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, a healthy growth of 28.5%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at 20.4%.
  • Operating margins expanded to 7.0% for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis 3.0% for period ended Mar 2020, expansion of 400.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs 8.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 14.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, falling 75.0%.
  • Company reported a poor Net Profit CAGR of -3.9% over the last 3 years

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

  • CashFlow from operating activities: Rs 0.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Rs -219.0 cr for period ended Mar 2020

Sales Growth

Profit Growth Statement

Profit Growth Statement

Stock Price CAGR

Return of Equity

General Comments

– The stock has given a return of 176% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of 2% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is 13% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of 24% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is 61% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of % over the last 3 Years.

Ratios

Shareholding Pattern

– FII shareholding has remained largely constant. The Mar 2021 fii holding stood at 3.01% vis-vis 3.16% for Dec 2020
– Public shareholding has risen for the period ended Mar 2021. The Mar 2021 public holding stood at 41.28% vis-vis 37.77% for Dec 2020

Conclusion

– has reduced debt.
– is almost debt free. – has low interest coverage ratio.
-Promoter holding has decreased over last quarter: -3.35%
– has a low return on equity of -0.81% for last 3 years.
-Earnings include an other income of Rs.34.49 Cr.
– has high debtors of 658.46 days.
-‘s cost of borrowing seems high

  • Fundamentally, the stock remains weak on business fundamentals. Weak near term results have dampened and questioned business drivers. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
  • Technically, the stock trades above its 50 DMA 184.04 and is trading at 185.0 It has shown near term bullish momentum contrary to business fundamentals. We suggest to observe price action. However as investors, who like to avoid timing the markets, we suggest to avoid the stock
  • Thus, overall, we retain a OBSERVE & HOLD.

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