Home Investment Memo: ROLLT

Investment Memo: ROLLT

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Our Rating: SELL

Mehabe score: 2
G Factor: 3
Piotski Score: 5
The stock has a rating SELL. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 3 and Piotski score of 5.

Description

Rollatainers is engaged in the business of encompassing research, manufacturing and marketing Lined and mono Cartons and Packaging Machines.Site: ROLLTMain Symbol: ROLLT

Price Chart

Market Cap: Rs 56.3 cr Price: 2.25 Trading pe: x
Book-value: 2.18/share Div yield: 0.00 % Earning yield: -24.79%
Face-value: 1.00/share 52week high: 5.11 52week low: 1.95

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 2.25, below its 50dma 2.59 and below its 200dma 2.83. The stock remains bearish on technicals
  • The 52 week high is at 5.11 and the 52week low is at 1.95

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– has reduced debt.
-Stock is trading at 1.03 times its book value

Weakness

– has low interest coverage ratio.
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of -7.61% over past five years.
– has a low return on equity of -23.79% for last 3 years.
-Earnings include an other income of Rs.32.01 Cr.
-‘s cost of borrowing seems high

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 14.5x. Huhtamaki India trades at the industry’s max P/E of 37.35x. ROLLT trades at a P/E of x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 4.5 while the mean Piotski score is 9.0. ROLLT has a G-Factor of 3 and Piotski scoreof 5.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 8.4%. The max 1- month return was given by Cosmo Films: a return of 18.37 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Jun 2021 is Rs 2.39 cr compared to Rs 8.44 cr for period ended Jun 2020, a fall of 71.7%
  • Company reported negative operating profit of Rs -2.5 cr for period ended Jun 2021. For same period last year, operating profit was -3.65
  • The EPS for Jun 2021 was Rs -0.18 compared to Rs 0.56 for previous quarter ended Mar 2021 and Rs -0.34 for Jun 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 52.33 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 58.38 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, a fall of 11.6%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at -27.1%.
  • Operating margins expanded to -8.77% for period ended TTM vis-vis -9.59% for period ended Mar 2021, expansion of 82.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs -8.73 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs -4.5 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, falling 0%.

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

  • CashFlow from operating activities: Rs -1.44 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Rs -25.02 cr for period ended Mar 2020

Sales Growth

Profit Growth Statement

Profit Growth Statement

Stock Price CAGR

Return of Equity

General Comments

– The company has improved its Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was -8.0% compared to -24.0% over the last 3 Years.
– The stock has given a return of -26% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of -10% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is -55% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of -25% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is -20% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of % over the last 3 Years.

Ratios

Shareholding Pattern

– FII shareholding has remained largely constant. The Jun 2021 fii holding stood at 3.8% vis-vis 4.76% for Mar 2021
– Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Jun 2021 public holding stood at 21.25% vis-vis 20.29% for Mar 2021

Conclusion

– has reduced debt.
-Stock is trading at 1.03 times its book value – has low interest coverage ratio.
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of -7.61% over past five years.
– has a low return on equity of -23.79% for last 3 years.
-Earnings include an other income of Rs.32.01 Cr.
-‘s cost of borrowing seems high

  • Fundamentally, the stock remains weak. The business fundamentals are on shaky ground. Weak near term results have dampened and questioned business drivers. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
  • Technically, the stock reflects the poor fundamentals. The stock remains below its 50 DMA 2.59 and is trading at 2.25. It has shown near term lack of bullish momentum. We suggest to observe price action. However as investors, who like to avoid timing the markets, we suggest to avoid the stock
  • Thus, overall, we retain a STRONG SELL.

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