Home Investment Memo: ROLTA

Investment Memo: ROLTA

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Our Rating: SELL

Mehabe score: 0
G Factor: 2
Piotski Score: 6
The stock has a rating SELL. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 2 and Piotski score of 6.

Description

Rolta India is a leading provider of innovative IP-led IT solutions for many vertical segments, including Federal and State Governments, Utilities, Oil & Gas, Petrochemicals, Financial Services, Manufacturing, Retail, and Healthcare.(Source : 201903 Annual Report Page No:64)Site: ROLTAMain Symbol: ROLTA

Price Chart

Market Cap: Rs 86.3 cr Price: 5.2 Trading pe: x
Book-value: -411/share Div yield: 0.00 % Earning yield: 2.87%
Face-value: 10.0/share 52week high: 10.12 52week low: 3.15

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 5.2, below its 50dma 5.28 and below its 200dma 5.6. The stock remains bearish on technicals
  • The 52 week high is at 10.12 and the 52week low is at 3.15

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– has reduced debt.

Weakness

– has low interest coverage ratio.
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of -24.31% over past five years.
-Promoter holding is low: 2.31%
-Contingent liabilities of Rs.7299.37 Cr.
-Debtor days have increased from 90.50 to 142.15 days.
-‘s cost of borrowing seems high
-Promoter holding has decreased over last 3 years: -22.77%

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 30.1x. Tata Elxsi trades at the industry’s max P/E of 80.63x. ROLTA trades at a P/E of x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 3.2 while the mean Piotski score is 9.0. ROLTA has a G-Factor of 2 and Piotski scoreof 6.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 5.7%. The max 1- month return was given by Tanla Platforms: a return of 54.4 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Sep 2021 is Rs 8.0 cr compared to Rs 293.0 cr for period ended Sep 2020, a fall of 97.3%
  • Company reported negative operating profit of Rs -23.0 cr for period ended Sep 2021. For same period last year, operating profit was 18.0
  • The EPS for Sep 2021 was Rs -13.79 compared to Rs -8.15 for previous quarter ended Jun 2021 and Rs -20.08 for Sep 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 306.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 944.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, a fall of 208.5%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at -47.9%.
  • Operating margins shrank to -29.0% for period ended TTM vis-vis -7.0% for period ended Mar 2021, contraction of 2200.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs -1272.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs -3264.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, rising 0%.

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

    Sales Growth

    Profit Growth Statement

    Profit Growth Statement

    Stock Price CAGR

    Return of Equity

    General Comments

    – The stock has given a return of -8% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of -22% over the last 3 Years.
    – The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is -78% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of -31% over the last 3 Years.
    – The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is 20% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of % over the last 3 Years.

    Ratios

    Shareholding Pattern

    – FII shareholding has remained largely constant. The Sep 2021 fii holding stood at 0.94% vis-vis 0.96% for Jun 2021
    – Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Sep 2021 public holding stood at 89.67% vis-vis 89.27% for Jun 2021

    Conclusion

    – has reduced debt. – has low interest coverage ratio.
    -The company has delivered a poor sales growth of -24.31% over past five years.
    -Promoter holding is low: 2.31%
    -Contingent liabilities of Rs.7299.37 Cr.
    -Debtor days have increased from 90.50 to 142.15 days.
    -‘s cost of borrowing seems high
    -Promoter holding has decreased over last 3 years: -22.77%

    • Fundamentally, the stock remains weak. The business fundamentals are on shaky ground. Weak near term results have dampened and questioned business drivers. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
    • Technically, the stock reflects the poor fundamentals. The stock remains below its 50 DMA 5.28 and is trading at 5.2. It has shown near term lack of bullish momentum. We suggest to observe price action. However as investors, who like to avoid timing the markets, we suggest to avoid the stock
    • Thus, overall, we retain a STRONG SELL.

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