Home Investment Memo: RUCHIRA

Investment Memo: RUCHIRA

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Our Rating: HOLD

Mehabe score: 2
G Factor: 4
Piotski Score: 6
The stock has a rating HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 4 and Piotski score of 6.

Description

Ruchira Papers Limited is engaged in the manufacturing of Kraft Paper and Writing & Printing Paper.Site: RUCHIRA

Market Cap: Rs 204 cr Price: 84.3 Trading pe: x
Book-value: 107/share Div yield: 0.00 % Earning yield: 0.23%
Face-value: 10.0/share 52week high: 89.10 52week low: 42.75

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 84.3, above its 50dma 71.29. It also trades above its 200dma 63.67. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 89.10 and the 52week low is at 42.75

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– Stock is trading at 0.79 times its book value

Weakness

– has low interest coverage ratio.
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 6.88% over past five years.
-Dividend payout has been low at 8.94% of profits over last 3 years

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 16.6x. Century Textiles trades at the industry’s max P/E of 60.86x. RUCHIRA trades at a P/E of x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 3.9 while the mean Piotski score is 7.0. RUCHIRA has a G-Factor of 4 and Piotski scoreof 6.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 17.6%. The max 1- month return was given by Ruchira Papers: a return of 27.34 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Mar 2021 is Rs 141.34 cr compared to Rs 107.45 cr for period ended Mar 2020, a rise of 31.5%
  • Operating Profits reported at Rs 16.82 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis 5.38 for period ended Mar 2020 .
  • Operating Margins expanded 689.3 bps for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Mar 2020 .
  • The EPS for Mar 2021 was Rs 4.07 compared to Rs 0.16 for previous quarter ended Dec 2020 and Rs 0.26 for Mar 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 415.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 481.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, a fall of 15.9%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at -2.4%.
  • Operating margins shrank to 6.0% for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis 9.0% for period ended Mar 2020, contraction of 300.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs 5.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 27.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, falling 440.0%.
  • Company reported a poor Net Profit CAGR of -49.1% over the last 3 years

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

    Sales Growth

    Profit Growth Statement

    Profit Growth Statement

    Stock Price CAGR

    Return of Equity

    General Comments

    – The company has worsened on its Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was 11.0% compared to 16.0% over the last 3 Years.
    – The stock has given a return of 78% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of -10% over the last 3 Years.
    – The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is -24% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of 5% over the last 3 Years.
    – The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is -112% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of -6% over the last 3 Years.

    Ratios

    Shareholding Pattern

    – FII shareholding has remained largely constant. The Mar 2021 fii holding stood at 0.59% vis-vis 0.57% for Dec 2020
    – Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Mar 2021 public holding stood at 34.86% vis-vis 35.36% for Dec 2020

    Conclusion

    – Stock is trading at 0.79 times its book value – has low interest coverage ratio.
    -The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 6.88% over past five years.
    -Dividend payout has been low at 8.94% of profits over last 3 years

    • The business fundamentals of the stock remain stable. Stronger near term results will build interest in the stock. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
    • Technically, the stock remains above its 50 DMA 71.29 and is trading at 84.3, thus bullish price action wise.
    • Thus, overall we retain a HOLD on the stock.

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