Home Investment Memo: SAREGAMA

Investment Memo: SAREGAMA

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Our Rating: HOLD

Mehabe score: 6
G Factor: 4
Piotski Score: 6
The stock has a rating HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 4 and Piotski score of 6.

Description

Saregama is the oldest music label company from India (established 1902, erstwhile “Gramophone Company of India” & then “HMV”). The company is aiming to be a pure-play content company supported by the global consumption boom. #
Since 2017, Saregama has been making headlines again owing to the launch of two unique initiatives, Saregama Carvaan and Yoodlee Films.

Main Points

Business Segments
Music Licensing (46% of sales), Carvaan Product Platform (40% of sales) Film & TV Segment (13% of sales), and Publication- “OPEN” Magazine (1% of sales) as of FY20.Site: SAREGAMAMain Symbol: SAREGAMA

Price Chart

Market Cap: Rs 5,716 cr Price: 3270.0 Trading pe: 46.1x
Book-value: 289/share Div yield: 0.61 % Earning yield: 2.96%
Face-value: 10.0/share 52week high: 3660.00 52week low: 442.65

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 3270.0, above its 50dma 2827.18. It also trades above its 200dma 1766.17. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 3660.00 and the 52week low is at 442.65

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– has reduced debt.
– is almost debt free.
– has delivered good profit growth of 59.53% CAGR over last 5 years

Weakness

– Stock is trading at 11.30 times its book value

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 24.1x. Saregama India trades at the industry’s max P/E of 46.1x. SAREGAMA trades at a P/E of 46.1x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 3.3 while the mean Piotski score is 8.0. SAREGAMA has a G-Factor of 4 and Piotski scoreof 6.
– Average 1 month return for industry is -1.2%. The max 1- month return was given by Saregama India: a return of 19.43 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Jun 2021 is Rs 105.0 cr compared to Rs 76.0 cr for period ended Jun 2020, a rise of 38.2%
  • Operating Profits reported at Rs 37.0 cr for period ended Jun 2021 vis-vis 19.0 for period ended Jun 2020 .
  • Operating Margins expanded 1023.8 bps for period ended Jun 2021 vis-vis Jun 2020 .
  • The EPS for Jun 2021 was Rs 15.6 compared to Rs 21.25 for previous quarter ended Mar 2021 and Rs 9.04 for Jun 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 470.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 442.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, a growth of 6.0%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at -4.8%.
  • Operating margins expanded to 32.0% for period ended TTM vis-vis 29.0% for period ended Mar 2021, expansion of 300.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs 124.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 113.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, rising 8.9%.
  • Company recorded a healthy Net Profit CAGR of 31.9% over the last 3 years

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

  • CashFlow from operating activities was positive.
  • CashFlow from operating activities: Rs 190.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Rs 80.0 cr for period ended Mar 2020

Sales Growth

Profit Growth Statement

Profit Growth Statement

Stock Price CAGR

Return of Equity

General Comments

– The company has improved its Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was 25.0% compared to 17.0% over the last 3 Years.
– The stock has given a return of 611% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of 71% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is -0% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of 7% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is 103% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of 58% over the last 3 Years.

Ratios

Shareholding Pattern

– FII shareholding has remained largely constant. The Jun 2021 fii holding stood at 7.36% vis-vis 6.94% for Mar 2021
– Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Jun 2021 public holding stood at 29.27% vis-vis 29.11% for Mar 2021

Conclusion

– has reduced debt.
– is almost debt free.
– has delivered good profit growth of 59.53% CAGR over last 5 years – Stock is trading at 11.30 times its book value

  • The business fundamentals of the stock remain stable. Stronger near term results will build interest in the stock. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
  • Technically, the stock remains above its 50 DMA 2827.18 and is trading at 3270.0, thus bullish price action wise.
  • Thus, overall we retain a HOLD on the stock.

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