Home Investment Memo: SBICARD

Investment Memo: SBICARD

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Our Rating: SELL

Mehabe score: 3
G Factor: 4
Piotski Score: 3
The stock has a rating SELL. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 4 and Piotski score of 3.

Description

SBI Cards & Payment Services is engaged in the business of issuing credit cards to consumers in India.(Source : 202003-01 Annual Report Page No:113)Site: SBICARDMain Symbol: SBICARD

Price Chart

Market Cap: Rs 90,049 cr Price: 957.0 Trading pe: 101.0x
Book-value: 67.0/share Div yield: 0.10 % Earning yield: 2.23%
Face-value: 10.0/share 52week high: 1149.00 52week low: 720.90

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 957.0, below its 50dma 995.18. However it is trading above its 200dma 938.72. The stock remains weak in the short term due to near term bearish momentum. However overall bullish structure remains intact. Price action will further build up as it moves above its dma50, currently situated at 995.18.
  • The 52 week high is at 1149.00 and the 52week low is at 720.90

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

Weakness

– Stock is trading at 14.29 times its book value
– might be capitalizing the interest cost

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 27.1x. SBI Cards trades at the industry’s max P/E of 100.52x. SBICARD trades at a P/E of 101.0x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 3.4 while the mean Piotski score is 6.0. SBICARD has a G-Factor of 4 and Piotski scoreof 3.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 2.4%. The max 1- month return was given by Bajaj Finserv: a return of 7.48 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Jun 2021 is Rs 2362.0 cr compared to Rs 2154.0 cr for period ended Jun 2020, a rise of 9.7%
  • Operating Profits reported at Rs 1779.0 cr for period ended Jun 2021 vis-vis 1365.0 for period ended Jun 2020 .
  • Operating Margins expanded 1194.7 bps for period ended Jun 2021 vis-vis Jun 2020 .
  • The EPS for Jun 2021 was Rs 3.24 compared to Rs 1.87 for previous quarter ended Mar 2021 and Rs 4.19 for Jun 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 9498.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 9296.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, a growth of 2.1%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at 10.6%.
  • Operating margins shrank to 860.0% for period ended TTM vis-vis 1030.0% for period ended Mar 2021, contraction of 17000.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs 896.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 985.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, falling 9.9%.
  • Company recorded a Net Profit CAGR of 1.2% over the last 3 years

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

  • CashFlow from operating activities was positive.
  • CashFlow from operating activities: Rs 692.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Rs -4067.0 cr for period ended Mar 2020

Sales Growth

Profit Growth Statement

Profit Growth Statement

Stock Price CAGR

Return of Equity

General Comments

– The company has worsened on its Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was 17.0% compared to 23.0% over the last 3 Years.
– The stock has given a return of 29% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of % over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is 1% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of 21% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is -31% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of 18% over the last 3 Years.

Ratios

Shareholding Pattern

– FII shareholding has risen for the period ended Jun 2021. The Jun 2021 fii holding stood at 12.47% vis-vis 8.62% for Mar 2021
– Public shareholding has fallen for the period ended Jun 2021. The Jun 2021 public holding stood at 11.34% vis-vis 16.01% for Mar 2021

Conclusion

– – Stock is trading at 14.29 times its book value
– might be capitalizing the interest cost

  • Fundamentally, the stock remains weak. The business fundamentals are on shaky ground. Weak near term results have dampened and questioned business drivers. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
  • Technically, the stock reflects the poor fundamentals. The stock remains below its 50 DMA 995.18 and is trading at 957.0. It has shown near term lack of bullish momentum. We suggest to observe price action. However as investors, who like to avoid timing the markets, we suggest to avoid the stock
  • Thus, overall, we retain a STRONG SELL.

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