Home Investment Memo: TRF

Investment Memo: TRF

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Our Rating: OBSERVE & HOLD

Mehabe score: 5
G Factor: 2
Piotski Score: 5
The stock has a rating OBSERVE & HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 2 and Piotski score of 5.

Description

TRF Limited is engaged in production of material handling equipments and undertaking turnkey projects of material handling for the infrastructure and industrial sector.[1]Site: TRFMain Symbol: TRF

Price Chart

Market Cap: Rs 150 cr Price: 136.0 Trading pe: x
Book-value: -225/share Div yield: 0.00 % Earning yield: -15.10%
Face-value: 10.0/share 52week high: 171.15 52week low: 70.00

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 136.0, above its 50dma 119.77. It also trades above its 200dma 109.53. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 171.15 and the 52week low is at 70.00

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

Weakness

– has low interest coverage ratio.
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of -34.83% over past five years.
-Promoter holding is low: 34.12%
-Contingent liabilities of Rs.137.10 Cr.
– has high debtors of 585.99 days.

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 20.7x. HLE Glascoat trades at the industry’s max P/E of 144.91x. TRF trades at a P/E of x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 3.2 while the mean Piotski score is 8.0. TRF has a G-Factor of 2 and Piotski scoreof 5.
– Average 1 month return for industry is -0.1%. The max 1- month return was given by Thermax: a return of 10.5 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Jun 2021 is Rs 16.0 cr compared to Rs 10.0 cr for period ended Jun 2020, a rise of 60.0%
  • Company reported negative operating profit of Rs -11.0 cr for period ended Jun 2021. For same period last year, operating profit was -21.0
  • The EPS for Jun 2021 was Rs -18.06 compared to Rs -6.26 for previous quarter ended Mar 2021 and Rs -25.56 for Jun 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 119.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 113.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, a growth of 5.0%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at -18.9%.
  • Operating margins expanded to -53.0% for period ended TTM vis-vis -58.0% for period ended Mar 2021, expansion of 500.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs -85.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs -93.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, rising 0%.

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

  • CashFlow from operating activities was positive.
  • CashFlow from operating activities: Rs 21.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Rs -56.0 cr for period ended Mar 2020

Sales Growth

Profit Growth Statement

Profit Growth Statement

Stock Price CAGR

Return of Equity

General Comments

– The stock has given a return of 67% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of 4% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is -13% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of -36% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is 56% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of 8% over the last 3 Years.

Ratios

Shareholding Pattern

– Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Sep 2021 public holding stood at 65.85% vis-vis 65.85% for Jun 2021

Conclusion

– – has low interest coverage ratio.
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of -34.83% over past five years.
-Promoter holding is low: 34.12%
-Contingent liabilities of Rs.137.10 Cr.
– has high debtors of 585.99 days.

  • Fundamentally, the stock remains weak on business fundamentals. Weak near term results have dampened and questioned business drivers. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
  • Technically, the stock trades above its 50 DMA 119.77 and is trading at 136.0 It has shown near term bullish momentum contrary to business fundamentals. We suggest to observe price action. However as investors, who like to avoid timing the markets, we suggest to avoid the stock
  • Thus, overall, we retain a OBSERVE & HOLD.

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