Investment Memo: TVSSRICHAK

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Our Rating: HOLD

Mehabe score: 5
G Factor: 6
Piotski Score: 6
The stock has a rating HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 6 and Piotski score of 6.

Description

TVS Srichakra, incorporated in 1982, is part of the TVS automotive-ancillary group. It is a manufacturer and exporter of Two and Three-Wheeler tyres and Off-Highway tyres. It is a major OEM supplier to TVS motors and many other leading brands. #

Main Points

Business Segment
The company’s product portfolio includes tyres for 2/3-wheeler, Industrial Pneumatic, Farm and Implement, Skid-steer, Multi-purpose, etc. #Site: TVSSRICHAKMain Symbol: TVSSRICHAK

Price Chart

Market Cap: Rs 1,730 cr Price: 2258.0 Trading pe: 23.4x
Book-value: 1,077/share Div yield: 0.89 % Earning yield: 6.96%
Face-value: 10.0/share 52week high: 2394.00 52week low: 1324.80

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 2258.0, above its 50dma 2104.04. It also trades above its 200dma 1887.28. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 2394.00 and the 52week low is at 1324.80

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– has reduced debt.
– has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 26.52%

Weakness

– The company has delivered a poor sales growth of -2.36% over past five years.
– has a low return on equity of 11.76% for last 3 years.
-‘s cost of borrowing seems high

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 19.3x. Balkrishna Inds trades at the industry’s max P/E of 41.5x. TVSSRICHAK trades at a P/E of 23.4x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 5.3 while the mean Piotski score is 8.0. TVSSRICHAK has a G-Factor of 6 and Piotski scoreof 6.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 3.9%. The max 1- month return was given by JK Tyre & Indust: a return of 13.72 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Jun 2021 is Rs 495.26 cr compared to Rs 212.14 cr for period ended Jun 2020, a rise of 133.5%
  • Company reported operating profit of Rs 26.26 cr for period ended Jun 2021, operating profit margin at 5.3 %.
  • Operating profit was negative for the same period last year thus company has improved its margins this year
  • The EPS for Jun 2021 was Rs 1.45 compared to Rs 45.75 for previous quarter ended Mar 2021 and Rs -48.62 for Jun 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 2222.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 1939.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, a healthy growth of 12.7%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at -3.0%.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs 112.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 74.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, rising 33.9%.
  • Company recorded a Net Profit CAGR of 2.8% over the last 3 years

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

  • CashFlow from operating activities was positive.
  • CashFlow from operating activities: Rs 307.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Rs 298.0 cr for period ended Mar 2020

Sales Growth

Profit Growth Statement

Profit Growth Statement

Stock Price CAGR

Return of Equity

General Comments

– The stock has given a return of 59% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of -8% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is -8% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of -3% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is -10% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of -14% over the last 3 Years.

Ratios

Shareholding Pattern

– FII shareholding has remained largely constant. The Jun 2021 fii holding stood at 1.97% vis-vis 1.49% for Mar 2021
– Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Jun 2021 public holding stood at 49.7% vis-vis 47.88% for Mar 2021

Conclusion

– has reduced debt.
– has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 26.52% – The company has delivered a poor sales growth of -2.36% over past five years.
– has a low return on equity of 11.76% for last 3 years.
-‘s cost of borrowing seems high

  • The business fundamentals of the stock remain stable. Stronger near term results will build interest in the stock. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
  • Technically, the stock remains above its 50 DMA 2104.04 and is trading at 2258.0, thus bullish price action wise.
  • Thus, overall we retain a HOLD on the stock.

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