Investment Memo: UCOBANK

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Our Rating: HOLD

Mehabe score: 5
G Factor: 4
Piotski Score: 7
The stock has a rating HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 4 and Piotski score of 7.

Description

UCO Bank is engaged in providing wide range of banking and financial services including Retail Banking, Corporate Banking and Treasury Operations.[1]Site: UCOBANKMain Symbol: UCOBANK

Price Chart

Market Cap: Rs 17,515 cr Price: 14.6 Trading pe: 70.8x
Book-value: 16.7/share Div yield: 0.00 % Earning yield: 4.19%
Face-value: 10.0/share 52week high: 16.35 52week low: 10.60

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 14.6, above its 50dma 13.39. It also trades above its 200dma 13.2. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 16.35 and the 52week low is at 10.60

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– Stock is trading at 0.88 times its book value

Weakness

– has low interest coverage ratio.
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of -4.89% over past five years.
– has a low return on equity of -13.98% for last 3 years.
-Contingent liabilities of Rs.80463.13 Cr.
– might be capitalizing the interest cost
-Earnings include an other income of Rs.3915.85 Cr.

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 11.9x. UCO Bank trades at the industry’s max P/E of 70.8x. UCOBANK trades at a P/E of 70.8x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 4.8 while the mean Piotski score is 8.0. UCOBANK has a G-Factor of 4 and Piotski scoreof 7.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 21.4%. The max 1- month return was given by Union Bank (I): a return of 44.43 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Sep 2021 is Rs 3720.0 cr compared to Rs 3615.0 cr for period ended Sep 2020, a rise of 2.9%
  • Operating Profits reported at Rs 2218.0 cr for period ended Sep 2021 vis-vis 2331.0 for period ended Sep 2020 .
  • Operating Margins contracted -485.8 bps for period ended Sep 2021 vis-vis Sep 2020 .
  • The EPS for Sep 2021 was Rs 0.17 compared to Rs 0.09 for previous quarter ended Jun 2021 and Rs 0.03 for Sep 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 14458.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 14446.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, a growth of 0.1%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at 0.3%.
  • Operating margins expanded to -3449.0% for period ended TTM vis-vis -3661.0% for period ended Mar 2021, expansion of 21200.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs 423.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 167.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, rising 0%.

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

  • CashFlow from operating activities was positive.
  • CashFlow from operating activities: Rs 2422.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Rs -10658.0 cr for period ended Mar 2020

Sales Growth

Profit Growth Statement

Profit Growth Statement

Stock Price CAGR

Return of Equity

General Comments

– The company has improved its Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was 0.0% compared to -14.0% over the last 3 Years.
– The stock has given a return of 24% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of -5% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is -4% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of 1% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is 114% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of 26% over the last 3 Years.

Ratios

Shareholding Pattern

– FII shareholding has remained largely constant. The Sep 2021 fii holding stood at 0.09% vis-vis 0.08% for Jun 2021
– Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Sep 2021 public holding stood at 3.24% vis-vis 3.25% for Jun 2021

Conclusion

– Stock is trading at 0.88 times its book value – has low interest coverage ratio.
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of -4.89% over past five years.
– has a low return on equity of -13.98% for last 3 years.
-Contingent liabilities of Rs.80463.13 Cr.
– might be capitalizing the interest cost
-Earnings include an other income of Rs.3915.85 Cr.

  • The business fundamentals of the stock remain stable. Stronger near term results will build interest in the stock. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
  • Technically, the stock remains above its 50 DMA 13.39 and is trading at 14.6, thus bullish price action wise.
  • Thus, overall we retain a HOLD on the stock.

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