Home Investment Memo: VGUARD

Investment Memo: VGUARD

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Our Rating: HOLD

Mehabe score: 6
G Factor: 4
Piotski Score: 5
The stock has a rating HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 4 and Piotski score of 5.

Description

Founded in 1977, V-Guard Industries Ltd. (‘V-Guard’) is a reputed Indian company manufacturing innovative and experiential products in the categories of Electronics, Electricals and Consumer Durables. It has grown from being a brand synonymous with voltage stabilizers across South India, to a brand offering a wide array of thoughtfully engineered products to consumers across the length and breadth of the country. Underpinned by its continuous quest to enrich consumer lives and power a stronger tomorrow.

Main Points

Increasing share of In-House Manufacturing
Company manufactures its products in-house as well as outsources them. The company is steadily migrating from outsourcing to in-house manufacturing to derive cost competitiveness, enable innovation and build an agile supply chain. # Currently, in-house manufacturing stands at 45% of production while the rest 55% of the manufacturing is outsourced.
It’s manufacturing facilities are located in various parts of Tamil Nadu, Uttarakhand, Himachal Pradesh and Sikkim.Site: VGUARDMain Symbol: VGUARD

Price Chart

Market Cap: Rs 11,161 cr Price: 259.0 Trading pe: 56.1x
Book-value: 28.1/share Div yield: 0.46 % Earning yield: 2.68%
Face-value: 1.00/share 52week high: 285.00 52week low: 159.35

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 259.0, above its 50dma 255.23. It also trades above its 200dma 226.62. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 285.00 and the 52week low is at 159.35

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– is almost debt free.
– has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 22.46%

Weakness

– Stock is trading at 9.24 times its book value
-Promoter holding has decreased over last quarter: -5.33%
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 7.91% over past five years.

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 29.3x. A B B trades at the industry’s max P/E of 157.48x. VGUARD trades at a P/E of 56.1x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 3.6 while the mean Piotski score is 7.0. VGUARD has a G-Factor of 4 and Piotski scoreof 5.
– Average 1 month return for industry is -0.9%. The max 1- month return was given by Crompton Gr. Con: a return of 7.06 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Mar 2021 is Rs 849.0 cr compared to Rs 537.0 cr for period ended Mar 2020, a rise of 58.1%
  • Operating Profits reported at Rs 110.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis 45.0 for period ended Mar 2020 .
  • Operating Margins expanded 457.7 bps for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Mar 2020 .
  • The EPS for Mar 2021 was Rs 1.59 compared to Rs 1.79 for previous quarter ended Dec 2020 and Rs 0.76 for Mar 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 2699.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 2482.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, a growth of 8.0%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at 5.3%.
  • Operating margins expanded to 11.0% for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis 10.0% for period ended Mar 2020, expansion of 100.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs 199.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 185.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, rising 7.0%.
  • Company recorded a healthy Net Profit CAGR of 14.4% over the last 3 years

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

  • CashFlow from operating activities was positive.
  • CashFlow from operating activities: Rs 222.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Rs 139.0 cr for period ended Mar 2020

Sales Growth

Profit Growth Statement

Profit Growth Statement

Stock Price CAGR

Return of Equity

General Comments

– The company has had stable/constant Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was 18.0% compared to 19.0% over the last 3 Years.
– The stock has given a return of 52% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of 11% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is 9% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of 5% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is 7% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of 14% over the last 3 Years.

Ratios

Shareholding Pattern

– FII shareholding has remained largely constant. The Mar 2021 fii holding stood at 14.87% vis-vis 13.01% for Dec 2020
– Public shareholding has risen for the period ended Mar 2021. The Mar 2021 public holding stood at 14.05% vis-vis 11.24% for Dec 2020

Conclusion

– is almost debt free.
– has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 22.46% – Stock is trading at 9.24 times its book value
-Promoter holding has decreased over last quarter: -5.33%
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 7.91% over past five years.

  • The business fundamentals of the stock remain stable. Stronger near term results will build interest in the stock. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
  • Technically, the stock remains above its 50 DMA 255.23 and is trading at 259.0, thus bullish price action wise.
  • Thus, overall we retain a HOLD on the stock.

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