Home Investment Memo: VHL

Investment Memo: VHL

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Our Rating: HOLD

Mehabe score: 7
G Factor: 4
Piotski Score: 7
The stock has a rating HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 4 and Piotski score of 7.

Description

Vardhman Holdings is principally engaged in lending and investing activities.Site: VHLMain Symbol: VHL

Price Chart

Market Cap: Rs 1,009 cr Price: 3162.0 Trading pe: 4.36x
Book-value: 7,225/share Div yield: 0.16 % Earning yield: 26.31%
Face-value: 10.0/share 52week high: 3820.55 52week low: 1202.00

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 3162.0, above its 50dma 3053.31. It also trades above its 200dma 2409.51. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 3820.55 and the 52week low is at 1202.00

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– is almost debt free.
-Stock is trading at 0.44 times its book value
-Market value of investments Rs.2184.91 Cr. is more than the Market Cap Rs.1008.73 Cr.

Weakness

– The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 9.24% over past five years.
-Tax rate seems low
– has a low return on equity of 7.94% for last 3 years.
-Earnings include an other income of Rs.219.66 Cr.
-Dividend payout has been low at 0.67% of profits over last 3 years

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 22.4x. SBI Cards trades at the industry’s max P/E of 96.75x. VHL trades at a P/E of 4.36x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 3.5 while the mean Piotski score is 7.0. VHL has a G-Factor of 4 and Piotski scoreof 7.
– Average 1 month return for industry is -0.6%. The max 1- month return was given by Muthoot Finance: a return of 5.59 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Sep 2021 is Rs 14.0 cr compared to Rs 8.0 cr for period ended Sep 2020, a rise of 75.0%
  • Operating Profits reported at Rs 14.0 cr for period ended Sep 2021 vis-vis 8.0 for period ended Sep 2020 .
  • The EPS for Sep 2021 was Rs 430.24 compared to Rs 279.87 for previous quarter ended Jun 2021 and Rs 71.82 for Sep 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 23.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 20.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, a healthy growth of 13.0%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at 36.7%.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs 346.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 130.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, rising 62.4%.
  • Company recorded a healthy Net Profit CAGR of 19.6% over the last 3 years

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

  • CashFlow from operating activities was positive.
  • CashFlow from operating activities: Rs 82.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Rs -95.0 cr for period ended Mar 2020

Sales Growth

Profit Growth Statement

Profit Growth Statement

Stock Price CAGR

Return of Equity

General Comments

– The company has had stable/constant Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was 6.0% compared to 8.0% over the last 3 Years.
– The stock has given a return of 145% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of 11% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is 23% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of -11% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is 105% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of -10% over the last 3 Years.

Ratios

Shareholding Pattern

– FII shareholding has remained largely constant. The Sep 2021 fii holding stood at 3.0% vis-vis 2.99% for Jun 2021
– Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Sep 2021 public holding stood at 21.11% vis-vis 21.12% for Jun 2021

Conclusion

– is almost debt free.
-Stock is trading at 0.44 times its book value
-Market value of investments Rs.2184.91 Cr. is more than the Market Cap Rs.1008.73 Cr. – The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 9.24% over past five years.
-Tax rate seems low
– has a low return on equity of 7.94% for last 3 years.
-Earnings include an other income of Rs.219.66 Cr.
-Dividend payout has been low at 0.67% of profits over last 3 years

  • The business fundamentals of the stock remain stable. Stronger near term results will build interest in the stock. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
  • Technically, the stock remains above its 50 DMA 3053.31 and is trading at 3162.0, thus bullish price action wise.
  • Thus, overall we retain a HOLD on the stock.

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