Investment Memo: AMBITION

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Our Rating: SELL

Mehabe score: 2
G Factor: 1
Piotski Score: 4
The stock has a rating SELL. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 1 and Piotski score of 4.

Description

Ambition Mica is primarily engaged in manufacturing and sale of Laminate Sheets.
Site: AMBITION
Main Symbol: AMBITION

Price Chart

Market Cap: Rs 11.1 cr Price: 7.41 Trading pe: x
Book-value: 12.2/share Div yield: 0.00 % Earning yield: -9.68%
Face-value: 10.0/share 52week high: 10.06 52week low: 3.55

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 7.41, below its 50dma 7.52. However it is trading above its 200dma 6.32. The stock remains weak in the short term due to near term bearish momentum. However overall bullish structure remains intact. Price action will further build up as it moves above its dma50, currently situated at 7.52.
  • The 52 week high is at 10.06 and the 52week low is at 3.55

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– has reduced debt.
-Stock is trading at 0.60 times its book value

Weakness

– has low interest coverage ratio.
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of -5.78% over past five years.
– has a low return on equity of -0.84% for last 3 years.
– has high debtors of 245.53 days.

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 24.5x. Indian Energy Ex trades at the industry’s max P/E of 72.53x. AMBITION trades at a P/E of x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 3.1 while the mean Piotski score is 9.0. AMBITION has a G-Factor of 1 and Piotski scoreof 4.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 7.4%. The max 1- month return was given by BSE: a return of 35.68 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Dec 2021 is Rs 8.1 cr compared to Rs 11.0 cr for period ended Dec 2020, a fall of 26.4%
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  • Company reported negative operating profit of Rs -7.66 cr for period ended Dec 2021. For same period last year, operating profit was 0.11.
  • The EPS for quarter ended Dec 2021 is Rs -4.31 compared to Rs -3.79 for previous quarter ended Sep 2021 and Rs -0.69 for Dec 2020.

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 32.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 37.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, a fall of 15.6%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at -27.2%.
  • Operating margins shrank to -34.0% for period ended TTM vis-vis 6.0% for period ended Mar 2021, contraction of 4000.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs -12.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs -5.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, falling 0%.

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

  • CashFlow from operating activities was positive.
  • CashFlow from operating activities: Rs 7.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Rs 5.0 cr for period ended Mar 2020

Sales Growth

Profit Growth Statement

Profit Growth Statement

Stock Price CAGR

Return of Equity

General Comments

– The company has worsened on its Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was -11.0% compared to -1.0% over the last 3 Years.
– The stock has given a return of 48% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of -27% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is -14% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of -26% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is -343% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of % over the last 3 Years.

Ratios

Shareholding Pattern

– Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Dec 2021 public holding stood at 41.7% vis-vis 41.7% for Sep 2021

Conclusion

– has reduced debt.
-Stock is trading at 0.60 times its book value – has low interest coverage ratio.
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of -5.78% over past five years.
– has a low return on equity of -0.84% for last 3 years.
– has high debtors of 245.53 days.

  • Fundamentally, the stock remains weak. The business fundamentals are on shaky ground. Weak near term results have dampened and questioned business drivers. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
  • Technically, the stock reflects the poor fundamentals. The stock remains below its 50 DMA 7.52 and is trading at 7.41. It has shown near term lack of bullish momentum. We suggest to observe price action. However as investors, who like to avoid timing the markets, we suggest to avoid the stock
  • Thus, overall, we retain a STRONG SELL.

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