Home Investment Memo: ASTRON

Investment Memo: ASTRON

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Our Rating: HOLD

Mehabe score: 4
G Factor: 4
Piotski Score: 6
The stock has a rating HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 4 and Piotski score of 6.

Description

Astron Paper & Board Mill is engaged in the manufacturing of Kraft Paper from waste paper.Site: ASTRONMain Symbol: ASTRON

Price Chart

Market Cap: Rs 325 cr Price: 69.8 Trading pe: 33.4x
Book-value: 37.2/share Div yield: 0.00 % Earning yield: 6.67%
Face-value: 10.0/share 52week high: 74.50 52week low: 35.00

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 69.8, above its 50dma 54.08. It also trades above its 200dma 47.83. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 74.50 and the 52week low is at 35.00

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– has reduced debt.

Weakness

– Though the company is reporting repeated profits, it is not paying out dividend
– has a low return on equity of 10.23% for last 3 years.
-‘s cost of borrowing seems high

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 24.6x. Century Textiles trades at the industry’s max P/E of 33.38x. ASTRON trades at a P/E of 33.4x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 4.8 while the mean Piotski score is 6.0. ASTRON has a G-Factor of 4 and Piotski scoreof 6.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 18.6%. The max 1- month return was given by JK Paper: a return of 32.83 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Jun 2021 is Rs 112.48 cr compared to Rs 67.27 cr for period ended Jun 2020, a rise of 67.2%
  • Operating Profits reported at Rs 5.47 cr for period ended Jun 2021 vis-vis 7.42 for period ended Jun 2020 .
  • Operating Margins contracted -616.7 bps for period ended Jun 2021 vis-vis Jun 2020 .
  • The EPS for Jun 2021 was Rs 0.43 compared to Rs 1.43 for previous quarter ended Mar 2021 and Rs 0.56 for Jun 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 480.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 435.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, a growth of 9.4%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at 8.8%.
  • Operating margins shrank to 5.0% for period ended TTM vis-vis 6.0% for period ended Mar 2021, contraction of 100.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs 9.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 10.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, falling 11.1%.
  • Company reported a poor Net Profit CAGR of -27.9% over the last 3 years

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

  • CashFlow from operating activities was positive.
  • CashFlow from operating activities: Rs 33.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Rs 19.0 cr for period ended Mar 2020

Sales Growth

Profit Growth Statement

Profit Growth Statement

Stock Price CAGR

Return of Equity

General Comments

– The company has worsened on its Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was 6.0% compared to 10.0% over the last 3 Years.
– The stock has given a return of 81% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of -13% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is 21% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of 20% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is -28% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of -22% over the last 3 Years.

Ratios

Shareholding Pattern

– FII shareholding has remained largely constant. The Jun 2021 fii holding stood at 0.0% vis-vis 0.26% for Mar 2021
– Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Jun 2021 public holding stood at 54.07% vis-vis 53.81% for Mar 2021

Conclusion

– has reduced debt. – Though the company is reporting repeated profits, it is not paying out dividend
– has a low return on equity of 10.23% for last 3 years.
-‘s cost of borrowing seems high

  • The business fundamentals of the stock remain stable. Stronger near term results will build interest in the stock. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
  • Technically, the stock remains above its 50 DMA 54.08 and is trading at 69.8, thus bullish price action wise.
  • Thus, overall we retain a HOLD on the stock.

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