Home Investment Memo: AVTNPL

Investment Memo: AVTNPL

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Our Rating: HOLD

Mehabe score: 3
G Factor: 5
Piotski Score: 7
The stock has a rating HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 5 and Piotski score of 7.

Description

AVT Natural Products is engaged in the production, trading and distribution of Oleoresins and value added Teas.(Source : 201903 Annual Report Page No: 61)Site: AVTNPLMain Symbol: AVTNPL

Price Chart

Market Cap: Rs 1,034 cr Price: 67.9 Trading pe: 23.0x
Book-value: 20.4/share Div yield: 1.03 % Earning yield: 5.99%
Face-value: 1.00/share 52week high: 84.75 52week low: 39.40

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 67.9, below its 50dma 70.91. However it is trading above its 200dma 56.95. The stock remains weak in the short term due to near term bearish momentum. However overall bullish structure remains intact. Price action will further build up as it moves above its dma50, currently situated at 70.91.
  • The 52 week high is at 84.75 and the 52week low is at 39.40

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 26.55%

Weakness

– has a low return on equity of 12.38% for last 3 years.

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 26.7x. Agro Tech Foods. trades at the industry’s max P/E of 93.93x. AVTNPL trades at a P/E of 23.0x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 4.9 while the mean Piotski score is 7.0. AVTNPL has a G-Factor of 5 and Piotski scoreof 7.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 3.3%. The max 1- month return was given by Vijay Solvex: a return of 77.44 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Jun 2021 is Rs 147.0 cr compared to Rs 105.0 cr for period ended Jun 2020, a rise of 40.0%
  • Operating Profits reported at Rs 24.0 cr for period ended Jun 2021 vis-vis 15.0 for period ended Jun 2020 .
  • Operating Margins expanded 204.1 bps for period ended Jun 2021 vis-vis Jun 2020 .
  • The EPS for Jun 2021 was Rs 1.07 compared to Rs 0.78 for previous quarter ended Mar 2021 and Rs 0.51 for Jun 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 528.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 485.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, a growth of 8.1%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at 15.9%.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs 54.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 45.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, rising 16.7%.
  • Company recorded a healthy Net Profit CAGR of 37.0% over the last 3 years

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

  • CashFlow from operating activities was positive.

Sales Growth

Profit Growth Statement

Profit Growth Statement

Stock Price CAGR

Return of Equity

General Comments

– The stock has given a return of 49% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of 25% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is 22% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of 14% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is 34% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of 25% over the last 3 Years.

Ratios

Shareholding Pattern

– FII shareholding has remained largely constant. The Jun 2021 fii holding stood at 0.0% vis-vis 0.0% for Mar 2021
– Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Jun 2021 public holding stood at 25.02% vis-vis 25.02% for Mar 2021

Conclusion

– has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 26.55% – has a low return on equity of 12.38% for last 3 years.

  • The business fundamentals of the stock remain stable. Stronger near term results will build interest in the stock. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
  • Technically, the stock remains below its 50 DMA 70.91 and is trading at 67.9. Shows a near term lack of buying interest.
  • Thus, overall we retain a HOLD on the stock.

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