Home Investment Memo: AYMSYNTEX

Investment Memo: AYMSYNTEX

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Our Rating: HOLD

Mehabe score: 7
G Factor: 5
Piotski Score: 5
The stock has a rating HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 5 and Piotski score of 5.

Description

AYM Syntex is a leading speciality synthetic yarns manufacturer with world class manufacturing technology for multipolymer yarns. It is the largest Indian manufacturer of Bulk Continuous Filament Yarns and a leading Multipolymer Yarn dyeing house in Asia. #

Main Points

Product Portfolio
The company manufactures a broad range of fibres. Its product portfolio includes Bulk Continuous Filament yarn (BCF), Industrial dyed yarn (IDY), Automotive yarn, textile yarn, packaged dyed yarn, and sewing yarn. #
Its yarns are used in a wide range of products for e.g. carpets, mats, rugs, fabrics, nets, ropes, threads, home textiles, hosiery, denim, etc.Site: AYMSYNTEXMain Symbol: AYMSYNTEX

Price Chart

Market Cap: Rs 407 cr Price: 81.4 Trading pe: 28.9x
Book-value: 71.5/share Div yield: 0.00 % Earning yield: 9.03%
Face-value: 10.0/share 52week high: 86.90 52week low: 20.35

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 81.4, above its 50dma 72.92. It also trades above its 200dma 54.42. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 86.90 and the 52week low is at 20.35

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– has reduced debt.
-Stock is trading at 1.14 times its book value

Weakness

– Though the company is reporting repeated profits, it is not paying out dividend
– has low interest coverage ratio.
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 3.60% over past five years.
– has a low return on equity of 4.34% for last 3 years.
-‘s cost of borrowing seems high

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 19.4x. Alok Industries trades at the industry’s max P/E of 489.33x. AYMSYNTEX trades at a P/E of 28.9x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 3.3 while the mean Piotski score is 6.0. AYMSYNTEX has a G-Factor of 5 and Piotski scoreof 5.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 21.1%. The max 1- month return was given by Vishal Fabrics: a return of 80.71 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Jun 2021 is Rs 305.96 cr compared to Rs 91.15 cr for period ended Jun 2020, a rise of 235.7%
  • Company reported operating profit of Rs 31.49 cr for period ended Jun 2021, operating profit margin at 10.3 %.
  • Operating profit was negative for the same period last year thus company has improved its margins this year
  • The EPS for Jun 2021 was Rs 1.85 compared to Rs 3.75 for previous quarter ended Mar 2021 and Rs -3.28 for Jun 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 1162.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 947.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, a healthy growth of 18.5%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at 5.4%.
  • Operating margins expanded to 11.0% for period ended TTM vis-vis 10.0% for period ended Mar 2021, expansion of 100.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs 40.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 14.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, rising 65.0%.
  • Company recorded a healthy Net Profit CAGR of 88.2% over the last 3 years

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

  • CashFlow from operating activities was positive.
  • CashFlow from operating activities: Rs 100.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Rs 79.0 cr for period ended Mar 2020

Sales Growth

Profit Growth Statement

Profit Growth Statement

Stock Price CAGR

Return of Equity

General Comments

– The company has had stable/constant Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was 4.0% compared to 4.0% over the last 3 Years.
– The stock has given a return of 270% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of 21% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is -8% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of 4% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is -35% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of 24% over the last 3 Years.

Ratios

Shareholding Pattern

– FII shareholding has remained largely constant. The Jun 2021 fii holding stood at 0.01% vis-vis 0.0% for Mar 2021
– Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Jun 2021 public holding stood at 27.34% vis-vis 27.35% for Mar 2021

Conclusion

– has reduced debt.
-Stock is trading at 1.14 times its book value – Though the company is reporting repeated profits, it is not paying out dividend
– has low interest coverage ratio.
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 3.60% over past five years.
– has a low return on equity of 4.34% for last 3 years.
-‘s cost of borrowing seems high

  • The business fundamentals of the stock remain stable. Stronger near term results will build interest in the stock. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
  • Technically, the stock remains above its 50 DMA 72.92 and is trading at 81.4, thus bullish price action wise.
  • Thus, overall we retain a HOLD on the stock.

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