Home Investment Memo: BDL

Investment Memo: BDL

Join Bharat Equity Telegram Channel for updated India results, analysis and News

[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)][lwa][/s2If] [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

Our Rating: HOLD

Mehabe score: 5
G Factor: 5
Piotski Score: 5
The stock has a rating HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 5 and Piotski score of 5.

Description

Bharat Dynamics (BDL), is a Government of India Enterprise. It is engaged in the manufacturing of guided missiles and allied defence equipments # #.

Main Points

Orderbook of around 8100 Crores (Jan’21) #
Recent orders:
– Konkurs-M ATGM worth Rs. 633 Cr #.
– Contract worth ₹ 1188 Cr for the supply of heavyweight torpedoes (Varunastra) to the Indian Navy. The delivery period is 42 months. #
– Export contract for the supply of one Shipset of Light Weight Torpedo (LWT-XP). The total value of the contract is $ 6.24 Mn and to be executed in 2020-21.
– Export contract for LWT-XP on 12 Jul 2019 for the supply of two Shipset of Light Weight Torpedo (LWT-XP) & Associated Equipment. The total value of the contract is $ 14.33 Mn which is to be executed in 2020-21.Site: BDLMain Symbol: BDL

Price Chart

Market Cap: Rs 7,245 cr Price: 395.0 Trading pe: 23.0x
Book-value: 146/share Div yield: 1.69 % Earning yield: 7.41%
Face-value: 10.0/share 52week high: 429.20 52week low: 280.40

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 395.0, above its 50dma 382.18. It also trades above its 200dma 356.89. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 429.20 and the 52week low is at 280.40

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– has reduced debt.
– is almost debt free.
– has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 37.48%

Weakness

– The company has delivered a poor sales growth of -14.04% over past five years.

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 21.2x. GMM Pfaudler trades at the industry’s max P/E of 112.55x. BDL trades at a P/E of 23.0x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 3.4 while the mean Piotski score is 8.0. BDL has a G-Factor of 5 and Piotski scoreof 5.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 7.6%. The max 1- month return was given by HLE Glascoat: a return of 44.79 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Jun 2021 is Rs 129.0 cr compared to Rs 31.0 cr for period ended Jun 2020, a rise of 316.1%
  • Company reported negative operating profit of Rs -34.0 cr for period ended Jun 2021. For same period last year, operating profit was -112.0
  • The EPS for Jun 2021 was Rs -1.14 compared to Rs 14.21 for previous quarter ended Mar 2021 and Rs -4.26 for Jun 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 2001.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 1914.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, a growth of 4.3%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at -13.3%.
  • Operating margins expanded to 21.0% for period ended TTM vis-vis 18.0% for period ended Mar 2021, expansion of 300.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs 315.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 258.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, rising 18.1%.
  • Company reported a poor Net Profit CAGR of -9.4% over the last 3 years

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

  • CashFlow from operating activities was positive.
  • CashFlow from operating activities: Rs 1068.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Rs 504.0 cr for period ended Mar 2020

Sales Growth

Profit Growth Statement

Profit Growth Statement

Stock Price CAGR

Return of Equity

General Comments

– The company has worsened on its Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was 10.0% compared to 17.0% over the last 3 Years.
– The stock has given a return of -1% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of 3% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is -24% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of -25% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is -20% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of -21% over the last 3 Years.

Ratios

Shareholding Pattern

– FII shareholding has remained largely constant. The Jun 2021 fii holding stood at 0.41% vis-vis 0.28% for Mar 2021
– Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Jun 2021 public holding stood at 6.75% vis-vis 7.27% for Mar 2021

Conclusion

– has reduced debt.
– is almost debt free.
– has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 37.48% – The company has delivered a poor sales growth of -14.04% over past five years.

  • The business fundamentals of the stock remain stable. Stronger near term results will build interest in the stock. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
  • Technically, the stock remains above its 50 DMA 382.18 and is trading at 395.0, thus bullish price action wise.
  • Thus, overall we retain a HOLD on the stock.

[/s2If]
Join Bharat Equity Telegram Channel for updated India results, analysis and News