Home Investment Memo: CNOVAPETRO

Investment Memo: CNOVAPETRO

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Our Rating: HOLD

Mehabe score: 4
G Factor: 6
Piotski Score: 7
The stock has a rating HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 6 and Piotski score of 7.

Description

CIL Nova Petrochemicals Limited is engaged in the preparation and spinning of man-made fiber, including blended man-made fibers and others.Site: CNOVAPETROMain Symbol: CNOVAPETRO

Price Chart

Market Cap: Rs 68.3 cr Price: 25.2 Trading pe: 4.51x
Book-value: 31.5/share Div yield: 0.00 % Earning yield: 17.20%
Face-value: 10.0/share 52week high: 32.60 52week low: 5.40

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 25.2, above its 50dma 13.15. It also trades above its 200dma 9.32. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 32.60 and the 52week low is at 5.40

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– Stock is trading at 0.80 times its book value
– is expected to give good quarter

Weakness

– The company has delivered a poor sales growth of -5.09% over past five years.
– has a low return on equity of 0.56% for last 3 years.
-Contingent liabilities of Rs.20.74 Cr.
-Debtor days have increased from 71.08 to 87.20 days.

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 7.3x. Grasim Inds trades at the industry’s max P/E of 19.86x. CNOVAPETRO trades at a P/E of 4.51x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 5.6 while the mean Piotski score is 7.0. CNOVAPETRO has a G-Factor of 6 and Piotski scoreof 7.
– Average 1 month return for industry is -6.0%. The max 1- month return was given by Grasim Inds: a return of 6.05 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Sep 2021 is Rs 79.56 cr compared to Rs 13.69 cr for period ended Sep 2020, a rise of 481.2%
  • Company reported operating profit of Rs 4.98 cr for period ended Sep 2021, operating profit margin at 6.3 %.
  • Operating profit was negative for the same period last year thus company has improved its margins this year
  • The EPS for Sep 2021 was Rs 1.11 compared to Rs 0.98 for previous quarter ended Jun 2021 and Rs -0.79 for Sep 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 277.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 154.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, a healthy growth of 44.4%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at 3.6%.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs 15.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 5.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, rising 0%.

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

  • CashFlow from operating activities was positive.

Sales Growth

Profit Growth Statement

Profit Growth Statement

Stock Price CAGR

Return of Equity

General Comments

– The company has improved its Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was 7.0% compared to 1.0% over the last 3 Years.
– The stock has given a return of 300% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of 3% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is 151% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of -14% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is 381% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of 62% over the last 3 Years.

Ratios

Shareholding Pattern

– FII shareholding has risen for the period ended Sep 2021. The Sep 2021 fii holding stood at 7.27% vis-vis 1.24% for Jun 2021
– Public shareholding has fallen for the period ended Sep 2021. The Sep 2021 public holding stood at 18.22% vis-vis 24.25% for Jun 2021

Conclusion

– Stock is trading at 0.80 times its book value
– is expected to give good quarter – The company has delivered a poor sales growth of -5.09% over past five years.
– has a low return on equity of 0.56% for last 3 years.
-Contingent liabilities of Rs.20.74 Cr.
-Debtor days have increased from 71.08 to 87.20 days.

  • The business fundamentals of the stock remain stable. Stronger near term results will build interest in the stock. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
  • Technically, the stock remains above its 50 DMA 13.15 and is trading at 25.2, thus bullish price action wise.
  • Thus, overall we retain a HOLD on the stock.

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