Investment Memo: CROMPTON

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Our Rating: HOLD

Mehabe score: 5
G Factor: 5
Piotski Score: 7
The stock has a rating HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 5 and Piotski score of 7.

Description

Crompton Greaves Consumer Electricals Limited is one of the leading consumer companies in India with a 75+ years old brand legacy. It is an independent company under professional management and have 2 business segments – Lighting and Electrical Consumer Durables. We market our products under the “Crompton” brand name in India and select export markets.

Main Points

Revenue Breakup
Presently, Electrical Consumer Durables (Fans, Pumps & Appliances) accounts for 75% of revenues and Lightning Products (Luminaire, Light sources) accounts for the rest 25% revenues. #Site: CROMPTONMain Symbol: CROMPTON

Price Chart

Market Cap: Rs 29,682 cr Price: 473.0 Trading pe: 49.1x
Book-value: 30.6/share Div yield: 1.16 % Earning yield: 2.54%
Face-value: 2.00/share 52week high: 496.70 52week low: 238.00

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 473.0, above its 50dma 426.87. It also trades above its 200dma 375.12. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 496.70 and the 52week low is at 238.00

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– has delivered good profit growth of 39.58% CAGR over last 5 years
– has a good return on equity (ROE) track record: 3 Years ROE 38.12%

Weakness

– Stock is trading at 15.47 times its book value
-Promoter holding has decreased over last quarter: -5.37%
-Promoter holding is low: 5.99%
-Tax rate seems low

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 28.9x. A B B trades at the industry’s max P/E of 151.46x. CROMPTON trades at a P/E of 49.1x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 3.4 while the mean Piotski score is 7.0. CROMPTON has a G-Factor of 5 and Piotski scoreof 7.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 1.3%. The max 1- month return was given by Havells India: a return of 15.3 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Jun 2021 is Rs 1046.0 cr compared to Rs 713.0 cr for period ended Jun 2020, a rise of 46.7%
  • Operating Profits reported at Rs 123.0 cr for period ended Jun 2021 vis-vis 99.0 for period ended Jun 2020 .
  • Operating Margins contracted -212.6 bps for period ended Jun 2021 vis-vis Jun 2020 .
  • The EPS for Jun 2021 was Rs 1.48 compared to Rs 3.93 for previous quarter ended Mar 2021 and Rs 1.18 for Jun 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 5083.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 4750.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, a growth of 6.6%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at 4.3%.
  • Operating margins shrank to 14.0% for period ended TTM vis-vis 15.0% for period ended Mar 2021, contraction of 100.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs 624.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 605.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, rising 3.0%.
  • Company recorded a healthy Net Profit CAGR of 15.7% over the last 3 years

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

  • CashFlow from operating activities was positive.
  • CashFlow from operating activities: Rs 815.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Rs 421.0 cr for period ended Mar 2020

Sales Growth

Profit Growth Statement

Profit Growth Statement

Stock Price CAGR

Return of Equity

General Comments

– The company has had stable/constant Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was 36.0% compared to 38.0% over the last 3 Years.
– The stock has given a return of 87% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of 25% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is 5% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of 5% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is 22% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of 23% over the last 3 Years.

Ratios

Shareholding Pattern

– FII shareholding has remained largely constant. The Jun 2021 fii holding stood at 40.14% vis-vis 39.18% for Mar 2021
– Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Jun 2021 public holding stood at 10.19% vis-vis 10.77% for Mar 2021

Conclusion

– has delivered good profit growth of 39.58% CAGR over last 5 years
– has a good return on equity (ROE) track record: 3 Years ROE 38.12% – Stock is trading at 15.47 times its book value
-Promoter holding has decreased over last quarter: -5.37%
-Promoter holding is low: 5.99%
-Tax rate seems low

  • The business fundamentals of the stock remain stable. Stronger near term results will build interest in the stock. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
  • Technically, the stock remains above its 50 DMA 426.87 and is trading at 473.0, thus bullish price action wise.
  • Thus, overall we retain a HOLD on the stock.

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