Home Investment Memo: GUFICBIO

Investment Memo: GUFICBIO

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Our Rating: HOLD

Mehabe score: 8
G Factor: 4
Piotski Score: 5
The stock has a rating HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 4 and Piotski score of 5.

Description

Gufic Biosciences Limited is engaged in the manufacture of pharmaceuticals, medicinal chemicals and botanical products.Site: GUFICBIO

Market Cap: Rs 1,676 cr Price: 173.0 Trading pe: 55.0x
Book-value: 17.9/share Div yield: 0.03 % Earning yield: 3.16%
Face-value: 1.00/share 52week high: 215.95 52week low: 71.85

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 173.0, above its 50dma 166.66. It also trades above its 200dma 128.94. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 215.95 and the 52week low is at 71.85

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– has reduced debt.
– has delivered good profit growth of 40.59% CAGR over last 5 years
– has a good return on equity (ROE) track record: 3 Years ROE 30.79%
-‘s median sales growth is 20.70% of last 10 years

Weakness

– Stock is trading at 9.66 times its book value
-Promoter holding has decreased over last quarter: -0.62%
-‘s cost of borrowing seems high

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 29.0x. Gufic BioScience trades at the industry’s max P/E of 54.99x. GUFICBIO trades at a P/E of 55.0x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 2.4 while the mean Piotski score is 8.0. GUFICBIO has a G-Factor of 4 and Piotski scoreof 5.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 3.8%. The max 1- month return was given by Piramal Enterp.: a return of 43.04 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Mar 2021 is Rs 132.0 cr compared to Rs 87.0 cr for period ended Mar 2020, a rise of 51.7%
  • Operating Profits reported at Rs 24.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis 12.0 for period ended Mar 2020 .
  • Operating Margins expanded 438.9 bps for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Mar 2020 .
  • The EPS for Mar 2021 was Rs 1.65 compared to Rs 1.99 for previous quarter ended Dec 2020 and Rs 0.64 for Mar 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 473.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 358.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, a healthy growth of 24.3%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at 15.6%.
  • Operating margins expanded to 16.0% for period ended TTM vis-vis 12.0% for period ended Mar 2020, expansion of 400.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs 41.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 23.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, rising 43.9%.
  • Company recorded a healthy Net Profit CAGR of 36.8% over the last 3 years

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

  • CashFlow from operating activities was positive.
  • CashFlow from operating activities: Rs 46.0 cr for period ended Mar 2020 vis-vis Rs 5.0 cr for period ended Mar 2019

Sales Growth

Profit Growth Statement

Profit Growth Statement

Stock Price CAGR

Return of Equity

General Comments

– The company has worsened on its Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was 27.0% compared to 31.0% over the last 3 Years.
– The stock has given a return of 134% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of 12% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is 9% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of 13% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is 26% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of 36% over the last 3 Years.

Ratios

Shareholding Pattern

– FII shareholding has remained largely constant. The Mar 2021 fii holding stood at 0.23% vis-vis 0.33% for Dec 2020
– Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Mar 2021 public holding stood at 25.77% vis-vis 25.21% for Dec 2020

Conclusion

– has reduced debt.
– has delivered good profit growth of 40.59% CAGR over last 5 years
– has a good return on equity (ROE) track record: 3 Years ROE 30.79%
-‘s median sales growth is 20.70% of last 10 years – Stock is trading at 9.66 times its book value
-Promoter holding has decreased over last quarter: -0.62%
-‘s cost of borrowing seems high

  • The business fundamentals of the stock remain stable. Stronger near term results will build interest in the stock. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
  • Technically, the stock remains above its 50 DMA 166.66 and is trading at 173.0, thus bullish price action wise.
  • Thus, overall we retain a HOLD on the stock.

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