Investment Memo: HAL

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Our Rating: HOLD

Mehabe score: 5
G Factor: 4
Piotski Score: 6
The stock has a rating HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 4 and Piotski score of 6.

Description

Hindustan Aeronautics is engaged in the business of Manufacture of Aircraft and Helicopters and Repair, Maintenance of Aircraft and Helicopters.(Source : 202003 Annual Report Page No:46)

Main Points

Core Aviation Equipment Supplier
HAL plays a strategic role in India’s defense program being the only Indian company having specialization in aircraft manufacturing and providing its Maintenance and related services. #Site: HAL

Market Cap: Rs 34,880 cr Price: 1043.0 Trading pe: 12.2x
Book-value: 418/share Div yield: 3.19 % Earning yield: 11.52%
Face-value: 10.0/share 52week high: 1423.55 52week low: 658.00

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 1043.0, above its 50dma 1016.46. It also trades above its 200dma 941.86. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 1423.55 and the 52week low is at 658.00

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– Stock is providing a good dividend yield of 3.19%.
– has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 40.39%

Weakness

– Contingent liabilities of Rs.11360.91 Cr.
– has high debtors of 197.22 days.

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 19.4x. GMM Pfaudler trades at the industry’s max P/E of 92.12x. HAL trades at a P/E of 12.2x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 3.5 while the mean Piotski score is 8.0. HAL has a G-Factor of 4 and Piotski scoreof 6.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 4.6%. The max 1- month return was given by ISGEC Heavy: a return of 25.26 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Dec 2020 is Rs 5425.0 cr compared to Rs 4455.0 cr for period ended Dec 2019, a rise of 21.8%
  • Operating Profits reported at Rs 1209.0 cr for period ended Dec 2020 vis-vis 871.0 for period ended Dec 2019 .
  • Operating Margins expanded 273.5 bps for period ended Dec 2020 vis-vis Dec 2019 .
  • The EPS for Dec 2020 was Rs 25.52 compared to Rs 18.4 for previous quarter ended Sep 2020 and Rs 13.78 for Dec 2019

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 22265.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 21438.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, a growth of 3.7%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at 6.3%.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs 2853.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 2873.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, falling 0.7%.
  • Company recorded a healthy Net Profit CAGR of 12.8% over the last 3 years

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

  • CashFlow from operating activities was positive.
  • CashFlow from operating activities: Rs 1621.0 cr for period ended Mar 2020 vis-vis Rs -7700.0 cr for period ended Mar 2019

Sales Growth

Profit Growth Statement

Profit Growth Statement

Stock Price CAGR

Return of Equity

General Comments

– The company has had stable/constant Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was 23.0% compared to 21.0% over the last 3 Years.
– The stock has given a return of 37% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of 7% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is 4% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of 6% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is -1% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of 3% over the last 3 Years.

Ratios

Shareholding Pattern

– FII shareholding has remained largely constant. The Mar 2021 fii holding stood at 0.91% vis-vis 0.3% for Dec 2020
– Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Mar 2021 public holding stood at 3.63% vis-vis 4.84% for Dec 2020

Conclusion

– Stock is providing a good dividend yield of 3.19%.
– has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 40.39% – Contingent liabilities of Rs.11360.91 Cr.
– has high debtors of 197.22 days.

  • The business fundamentals of the stock remain stable. Stronger near term results will build interest in the stock. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
  • Technically, the stock remains above its 50 DMA 1016.46 and is trading at 1043.0, thus bullish price action wise.
  • Thus, overall we retain a HOLD on the stock.

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