Home Investment Memo: HDFCAMC

Investment Memo: HDFCAMC

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Our Rating: HOLD

Mehabe score: 2
G Factor: 4
Piotski Score: 6
The stock has a rating HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 4 and Piotski score of 6.

Description

HDFC Asset Management Company (HDFC AMC) is Promoted by HDFC Ltd (52.72% of share) and Standard Life(21.24%), is one of the largest AMCs in India with total assets under management (AUM) of 406800 Cr. as of Dec 2020. The company offers a large suite of savings and investment products across asset classes.
The company also provides Portfolio Management & separately managed account services to HNIs, family offices, domestic corporates, trusts, provident funds, and domestic and global institutions.
Site: HDFCAMC
Main Symbol: HDFCAMC

Price Chart

Market Cap: Rs 48,153 cr Price: 2259.0 Trading pe: 35.3x
Book-value: 225/share Div yield: 1.51 % Earning yield: 3.65%
Face-value: 5.00/share 52week high: 3365.00 52week low: 2239.40

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 2259.0, below its 50dma 2513.53 and below its 200dma 2726.77. The stock remains bearish on technicals
  • The 52 week high is at 3365.00 and the 52week low is at 2239.40

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– is almost debt free.
– has delivered good profit growth of 22.64% CAGR over last 5 years
– has a good return on equity (ROE) track record: 3 Years ROE 33.15%
– has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 52.21%

Weakness

– Stock is trading at 10.06 times its book value
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 8.04% over past five years.
-Promoter holding has decreased over last 3 years: -13.93%

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 25.9x. SBI Cards trades at the industry’s max P/E of 74.25x. HDFCAMC trades at a P/E of 35.3x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 3.3 while the mean Piotski score is 6.0. HDFCAMC has a G-Factor of 4 and Piotski scoreof 6.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 1.2%. The max 1- month return was given by Cholaman.Inv.&Fn: a return of 23.72 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Dec 2021 is Rs 550.0 cr compared to Rs 482.0 cr for period ended Dec 2020, a rise of 14.1% .
  • vis-vis 386.0 for period ended Dec 2020 .

  • Operating Margins contracted -481.0 bps for period ended Dec 2021 vis-vis Dec 2020.
  • Company reported operating profit of Rs 414.0 cr for period ended Dec 2021 and operating profit margin at 75.3 % for same period.
  • The EPS for quarter ended Dec 2021 is Rs 16.87 compared to Rs 16.16 for previous quarter ended Sep 2021 and Rs 17.34 for Dec 2020.

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 2102.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 2194.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, a fall of 4.4%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at 0.4%.
  • Operating margins shrank to 76.0% for period ended TTM vis-vis 82.0% for period ended Mar 2021, contraction of 600.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs 1366.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 1326.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, rising 2.9%.
  • Company recorded a healthy Net Profit CAGR of 13.6% over the last 3 years

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

  • CashFlow from operating activities was positive.

Sales Growth

Profit Growth Statement

Profit Growth Statement

Stock Price CAGR

Return of Equity

General Comments

– The stock has given a return of -27% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of 17% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is 15% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of 5% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is 8% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of 23% over the last 3 Years.

Ratios

Shareholding Pattern

– FII shareholding has remained largely constant. The Dec 2021 fii holding stood at 10.54% vis-vis 8.95% for Sep 2021
– Public shareholding has fallen for the period ended Dec 2021. The Dec 2021 public holding stood at 11.19% vis-vis 14.62% for Sep 2021

Conclusion

– is almost debt free.
– has delivered good profit growth of 22.64% CAGR over last 5 years
– has a good return on equity (ROE) track record: 3 Years ROE 33.15%
– has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 52.21% – Stock is trading at 10.06 times its book value
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 8.04% over past five years.
-Promoter holding has decreased over last 3 years: -13.93%

  • The business fundamentals of the stock remain stable. Stronger near term results will build interest in the stock. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
  • Technically, the stock remains below its 50 DMA 2513.53 and is trading at 2259.0. Shows a near term lack of buying interest.
  • Thus, overall we retain a HOLD on the stock.

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