Home Investment Memo: HFCL

Investment Memo: HFCL

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Our Rating: HOLD

Mehabe score: 6
G Factor: 4
Piotski Score: 5
The stock has a rating HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 4 and Piotski score of 5.

Description

HFCL Ltd is a diverse telecom infrastructure enabler with active interest spanning telecom infrastructure development, system integration, and manufacture and supply of high end telecom equipment, Optical Fiber and Optic Fiber Cable (OFC).#

Main Points

Product Portfolio
Company’s product portfolio includes Optical Fiber Cable (OFC), Optical Fiber, Wi-fi systems, microwave radios, routers, Ethernet switches, Electronic fuses, Electro optic devices and others.#Site: HFCLMain Symbol: HFCL

Price Chart

Market Cap: Rs 11,463 cr Price: 89.2 Trading pe: 37.2x
Book-value: 14.9/share Div yield: 0.00 % Earning yield: 4.32%
Face-value: 1.00/share 52week high: 95.70 52week low: 11.30

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 89.2, above its 50dma 56.24. It also trades above its 200dma 35.35. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 95.70 and the 52week low is at 11.30

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– is expected to give good quarter
-‘s median sales growth is 26.42% of last 10 years

Weakness

– The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 9.02% over past five years.
-Promoters have pledged 44.72% of their holding.
-Dividend payout has been low at 4.62% of profits over last 3 years
– has high debtors of 215.47 days.
-‘s cost of borrowing seems high

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 36.3x. ITI trades at the industry’s max P/E of 1258.98x. HFCL trades at a P/E of 37.2x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 3.0 while the mean Piotski score is 7.0. HFCL has a G-Factor of 4 and Piotski scoreof 5.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 37.5%. The max 1- month return was given by GTL Infra.: a return of 108.0 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Jun 2021 is Rs 1207.0 cr compared to Rs 700.0 cr for period ended Jun 2020, a rise of 72.4%
  • Operating Profits reported at Rs 186.0 cr for period ended Jun 2021 vis-vis 79.0 for period ended Jun 2020 .
  • Operating Margins expanded 412.4 bps for period ended Jun 2021 vis-vis Jun 2020 .
  • The EPS for Jun 2021 was Rs 0.68 compared to Rs 0.66 for previous quarter ended Mar 2021 and Rs 0.16 for Jun 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 4930.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 4423.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, a healthy growth of 10.3%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at 1.3%.
  • Operating margins expanded to 13.0% for period ended TTM vis-vis 12.0% for period ended Mar 2021, expansion of 100.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs 306.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 239.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, rising 21.9%.
  • Company recorded a healthy Net Profit CAGR of 11.6% over the last 3 years

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

  • CashFlow from operating activities was positive.

Sales Growth

Profit Growth Statement

Profit Growth Statement

Stock Price CAGR

Return of Equity

General Comments

– The company has had stable/constant Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was 14.0% compared to 15.0% over the last 3 Years.
– The stock has given a return of 544% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of 45% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is 54% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of 11% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is 123% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of 13% over the last 3 Years.

Ratios

Shareholding Pattern

– FII shareholding has remained largely constant. The Mar 2021 fii holding stood at 2.18% vis-vis 1.66% for Dec 2020
– Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Mar 2021 public holding stood at 55.69% vis-vis 56.22% for Dec 2020

Conclusion

– is expected to give good quarter
-‘s median sales growth is 26.42% of last 10 years – The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 9.02% over past five years.
-Promoters have pledged 44.72% of their holding.
-Dividend payout has been low at 4.62% of profits over last 3 years
– has high debtors of 215.47 days.
-‘s cost of borrowing seems high

  • The business fundamentals of the stock remain stable. Stronger near term results will build interest in the stock. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
  • Technically, the stock remains above its 50 DMA 56.24 and is trading at 89.2, thus bullish price action wise.
  • Thus, overall we retain a HOLD on the stock.

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