Investment Memo: IBULHSGFIN

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Our Rating: HOLD

Mehabe score: 4
G Factor: 5
Piotski Score: 7
The stock has a rating HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 5 and Piotski score of 7.

Description

Indiabulls Housing Finance is engaged in business of a Housing Finance Institution without accepting public deposits and its regulated by National Housing Bank.(Source : 201903 Annual Report Page No: 65)Site: IBULHSGFINMain Symbol: IBULHSGFIN

Price Chart

Market Cap: Rs 12,157 cr Price: 263.0 Trading pe: 10.1x
Book-value: 349/share Div yield: 11.8 % Earning yield: 13.30%
Face-value: 2.00/share 52week high: 313.70 52week low: 127.65

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 263.0, above its 50dma 244.03. It also trades above its 200dma 220.25. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 313.70 and the 52week low is at 127.65

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– Stock is trading at 0.75 times its book value
– has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 44.74%

Weakness

– has low interest coverage ratio.
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 1.49% over past five years.

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 29.2x. AAVAS Financiers trades at the industry’s max P/E of 81.12x. IBULHSGFIN trades at a P/E of 10.1x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 4.7 while the mean Piotski score is 8.0. IBULHSGFIN has a G-Factor of 5 and Piotski scoreof 7.
– Average 1 month return for industry is -1.4%. The max 1- month return was given by AAVAS Financiers: a return of 22.17 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Mar 2021 is Rs 2372.0 cr compared to Rs 2950.0 cr for period ended Mar 2020, a fall of 19.6%
  • Operating Profits reported at Rs 448.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis 706.0 for period ended Mar 2020 .
  • Operating Margins contracted -504.5 bps for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Mar 2020 .
  • The EPS for Mar 2021 was Rs 5.97 compared to Rs 7.12 for previous quarter ended Dec 2020 and Rs 3.21 for Mar 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 9927.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 13216.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, a fall of 33.1%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at -12.8%.
  • Operating margins shrank to 1556.0% for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis 2664.0% for period ended Mar 2020, contraction of 110800.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs 1202.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 2200.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, falling 83.0%.
  • Company reported a poor Net Profit CAGR of -32.4% over the last 3 years

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

  • CashFlow from operating activities was positive.

Sales Growth

Profit Growth Statement

Profit Growth Statement

Stock Price CAGR

Return of Equity

General Comments

– The company has worsened on its Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was 8.0% compared to 16.0% over the last 3 Years.
– The stock has given a return of 14% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of -39% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is -25% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of -13% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is -45% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of -32% over the last 3 Years.

Ratios

Shareholding Pattern

– FII shareholding has remained largely constant. The Mar 2021 fii holding stood at 33.61% vis-vis 32.16% for Dec 2020
– Public shareholding has fallen for the period ended Mar 2021. The Mar 2021 public holding stood at 28.27% vis-vis 30.37% for Dec 2020

Conclusion

– Stock is trading at 0.75 times its book value
– has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 44.74% – has low interest coverage ratio.
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 1.49% over past five years.

  • The business fundamentals of the stock remain stable. Stronger near term results will build interest in the stock. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
  • Technically, the stock remains above its 50 DMA 244.03 and is trading at 263.0, thus bullish price action wise.
  • Thus, overall we retain a HOLD on the stock.

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