Home Investment Memo: ISEC

Investment Memo: ISEC

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Our Rating: HOLD

Mehabe score: 6
G Factor: 5
Piotski Score: 5
The stock has a rating HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 5 and Piotski score of 5.

Description

ICICI Securities is engaged in the business of broking (institutional and retail), distribution of financial products, merchant banking and advisory services.(Source : 201903 Annual Report Page No: 162)Site: ISECMain Symbol: ISEC

Price Chart

Market Cap: Rs 24,520 cr Price: 760.0 Trading pe: 23.0x
Book-value: 56.5/share Div yield: 1.05 % Earning yield: 6.34%
Face-value: 5.00/share 52week high: 802.70 52week low: 357.00

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 760.0, above its 50dma 632.47. It also trades above its 200dma 511.03. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 802.70 and the 52week low is at 357.00

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– is expected to give good quarter
– has a good return on equity (ROE) track record: 3 Years ROE 58.50%
– has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 63.99%

Weakness

– Stock is trading at 13.46 times its book value
– might be capitalizing the interest cost

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 26.3x. SBI Cards trades at the industry’s max P/E of 92.21x. ISEC trades at a P/E of 23.0x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 4.4 while the mean Piotski score is 6.0. ISEC has a G-Factor of 5 and Piotski scoreof 5.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 2.1%. The max 1- month return was given by ICICI Securities: a return of 21.25 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Jun 2021 is Rs 745.0 cr compared to Rs 546.0 cr for period ended Jun 2020, a rise of 36.4%
  • Operating Profits reported at Rs 470.0 cr for period ended Jun 2021 vis-vis 295.0 for period ended Jun 2020 .
  • Operating Margins expanded 905.8 bps for period ended Jun 2021 vis-vis Jun 2020 .
  • The EPS for Jun 2021 was Rs 9.63 compared to Rs 10.22 for previous quarter ended Mar 2021 and Rs 5.99 for Jun 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 2785.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 2586.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, a growth of 7.1%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at 17.3%.
  • Operating margins expanded to 63.0% for period ended TTM vis-vis 62.0% for period ended Mar 2021, expansion of 100.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs 1185.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 1068.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, rising 9.9%.
  • Company recorded a healthy Net Profit CAGR of 34.1% over the last 3 years

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

  • CashFlow from operating activities: Rs -1610.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Rs -1878.0 cr for period ended Mar 2020

Sales Growth

Profit Growth Statement

Profit Growth Statement

Stock Price CAGR

Return of Equity

General Comments

– The company has improved its Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was 70.0% compared to 59.0% over the last 3 Years.
– The stock has given a return of 43% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of 36% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is 50% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of 12% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is 97% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of 24% over the last 3 Years.

Ratios

Shareholding Pattern

– FII shareholding has remained largely constant. The Jun 2021 fii holding stood at 5.68% vis-vis 3.74% for Mar 2021
– Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Jun 2021 public holding stood at 12.06% vis-vis 12.23% for Mar 2021

Conclusion

– is expected to give good quarter
– has a good return on equity (ROE) track record: 3 Years ROE 58.50%
– has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 63.99% – Stock is trading at 13.46 times its book value
– might be capitalizing the interest cost

  • The business fundamentals of the stock remain stable. Stronger near term results will build interest in the stock. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
  • Technically, the stock remains above its 50 DMA 632.47 and is trading at 760.0, thus bullish price action wise.
  • Thus, overall we retain a HOLD on the stock.

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