Investment Memo: KERNEX

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Our Rating: HOLD

Mehabe score: 6
G Factor: 4
Piotski Score: 6
The stock has a rating HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 4 and Piotski score of 6.

Description

Kernex Microsystems (India) is engaged in the manufacture and sale of Safety Systems and Software services for Railways.Site: KERNEX

Market Cap: Rs 93.4 cr Price: 74.7 Trading pe: 46.2x
Book-value: /share Div yield: 0.00 % Earning yield: -3.05%
Face-value: 10.0/share 52week high: 75.50 52week low: 15.65

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 74.7, above its 50dma 53.39. It also trades above its 200dma 37.56. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 75.50 and the 52week low is at 15.65

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– is expected to give good quarter

Weakness

– The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 9.70% over past five years.
-Promoter holding is low: 22.34%
-Promoter holding has decreased over last 3 years: -9.44%

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 21.3x. Kernex Microsys. trades at the industry’s max P/E of 46.23x. KERNEX trades at a P/E of 46.2x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 3.2 while the mean Piotski score is 7.0. KERNEX has a G-Factor of 4 and Piotski scoreof 6.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 13.4%. The max 1- month return was given by Kernex Microsys.: a return of 44.07 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Mar 2021 is Rs 13.97 cr compared to Rs 0.65 cr for period ended Mar 2020, a rise of 2049.2%
  • Company reported operating profit of Rs 3.05 cr for period ended Mar 2021, operating profit margin at 21.8 %.
  • Operating profit was negative for the same period last year thus company has improved its margins this year
  • The EPS for Mar 2021 was Rs 2.43 compared to Rs 0.66 for previous quarter ended Dec 2020 and Rs -6.52 for Mar 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 18.32 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 14.88 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, a healthy growth of 18.8%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at 11.2%.
  • Operating margins expanded to 20.91% for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis -49.33% for period ended Mar 2020, expansion of 7024.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs 2.02 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 3.43 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, falling 0%.

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

  • CashFlow from operating activities: Rs 0.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Rs -11.25 cr for period ended Mar 2020

Sales Growth

Profit Growth Statement

Profit Growth Statement

Stock Price CAGR

Return of Equity

General Comments

– The stock has given a return of 338% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of 37% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is 23% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of 11% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is -41% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of 29% over the last 3 Years.

Ratios

Shareholding Pattern

– Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Mar 2021 public holding stood at 77.66% vis-vis 77.66% for Dec 2020

Conclusion

– is expected to give good quarter – The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 9.70% over past five years.
-Promoter holding is low: 22.34%
-Promoter holding has decreased over last 3 years: -9.44%

  • The business fundamentals of the stock remain stable. Stronger near term results will build interest in the stock. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
  • Technically, the stock remains above its 50 DMA 53.39 and is trading at 74.7, thus bullish price action wise.
  • Thus, overall we retain a HOLD on the stock.

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