Investment Memo: KOPRAN

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Our Rating: HOLD

Mehabe score: 8
G Factor: 6
Piotski Score: 7
The stock has a rating HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 6 and Piotski score of 7.

Description

Kopran Ltd. is an integrated Pharmaceutical Company, committed to manufacture and supply International Quality Formulations and Active Pharmaceutical Ingredients worldwide.

Main Points

API Verticle #
Development, manufacturing, and sale of diverse Active Pharmaceutical Ingredients (APIs) and Advanced Intermediates. One of the leaders in Atenolol & one of the major players in Sterile Carbapenems. Their main products are Macrolides (almost 45%), Sterile Carbapenems (around 25%), & Anti-Hypertensive (around 20%).Site: KOPRANMain Symbol: KOPRAN

Price Chart

Market Cap: Rs 1,000 cr Price: 231.0 Trading pe: 16.2x
Book-value: 56.6/share Div yield: 1.30 % Earning yield: 8.46%
Face-value: 10.0/share 52week high: 262.00 52week low: 54.20

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 231.0, above its 50dma 219.84. It also trades above its 200dma 159.89. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 262.00 and the 52week low is at 54.20

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– has reduced debt.
– is expected to give good quarter
– has delivered good profit growth of 38.98% CAGR over last 5 years

Weakness

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 33.0x. Piramal Enterp. trades at the industry’s max P/E of 48.58x. KOPRAN trades at a P/E of 16.2x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 2.8 while the mean Piotski score is 9.0. KOPRAN has a G-Factor of 6 and Piotski scoreof 7.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 0.1%. The max 1- month return was given by Sun Pharma.Inds.: a return of 15.59 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Mar 2021 is Rs 140.0 cr compared to Rs 87.0 cr for period ended Mar 2020, a rise of 60.9%
  • Operating Profits reported at Rs 19.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis 11.0 for period ended Mar 2020 .
  • Operating Margins expanded 92.8 bps for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Mar 2020 .
  • The EPS for Mar 2021 was Rs 3.48 compared to Rs 3.63 for previous quarter ended Dec 2020 and Rs 1.11 for Mar 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 492.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 360.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, a healthy growth of 26.8%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at 16.3%.
  • Operating margins expanded to 17.0% for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis 13.0% for period ended Mar 2020, expansion of 400.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs 62.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 21.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, rising 66.1%.
  • Company recorded a healthy Net Profit CAGR of 45.8% over the last 3 years

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

  • CashFlow from operating activities was positive.
  • CashFlow from operating activities: Rs 60.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Rs 31.0 cr for period ended Mar 2020

Sales Growth

Profit Growth Statement

Profit Growth Statement

Stock Price CAGR

Return of Equity

General Comments

– The company has improved its Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was 28.0% compared to 19.0% over the last 3 Years.
– The stock has given a return of 305% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of 63% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is 37% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of 16% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is 187% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of 44% over the last 3 Years.

Ratios

Shareholding Pattern

– FII shareholding has remained largely constant. The Jun 2021 fii holding stood at 0.16% vis-vis 0.0% for Mar 2021
– Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Jun 2021 public holding stood at 55.37% vis-vis 53.93% for Mar 2021

Conclusion

– has reduced debt.
– is expected to give good quarter
– has delivered good profit growth of 38.98% CAGR over last 5 years –

  • The business fundamentals of the stock remain stable. Stronger near term results will build interest in the stock. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
  • Technically, the stock remains above its 50 DMA 219.84 and is trading at 231.0, thus bullish price action wise.
  • Thus, overall we retain a HOLD on the stock.

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