Investment Memo: MODISNME

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Our Rating: HOLD

Mehabe score: 8
G Factor: 6
Piotski Score: 6
The stock has a rating HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 6 and Piotski score of 6.

Description

Modison Metals Ltd is a leading manufacturer of Electrical contacts in all the three segments, LV, MV & HV.Site: MODISNMEMain Symbol: MODISNME

Price Chart

Market Cap: Rs 296 cr Price: 91.2 Trading pe: 11.8x
Book-value: 50.7/share Div yield: 1.64 % Earning yield: 11.57%
Face-value: 1.00/share 52week high: 96.00 52week low: 32.00

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 91.2, above its 50dma 68.08. It also trades above its 200dma 52.68. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 96.00 and the 52week low is at 32.00

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– has reduced debt.
– is almost debt free.
– is expected to give good quarter
– has delivered good profit growth of 18.15% CAGR over last 5 years

Weakness

– The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 11.67% over past five years.

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 29.2x. A B B trades at the industry’s max P/E of 151.67x. MODISNME trades at a P/E of 11.8x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 3.9 while the mean Piotski score is 7.0. MODISNME has a G-Factor of 6 and Piotski scoreof 6.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 1.5%. The max 1- month return was given by Modison Metals: a return of 30.92 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Mar 2021 is Rs 105.31 cr compared to Rs 57.26 cr for period ended Mar 2020, a rise of 83.9%
  • Operating Profits reported at Rs 11.16 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis 8.4 for period ended Mar 2020 .
  • Operating Margins contracted -407.3 bps for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Mar 2020 .
  • The EPS for Mar 2021 was Rs 2.98 compared to Rs 1.09 for previous quarter ended Dec 2020 and Rs 1.92 for Mar 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 292.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 219.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, a healthy growth of 25.0%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at 15.2%.
  • Operating margins expanded to 14.0% for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis 12.0% for period ended Mar 2020, expansion of 200.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs 22.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 15.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, rising 31.8%.
  • Company recorded a healthy Net Profit CAGR of 16.3% over the last 3 years

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

  • CashFlow from operating activities was positive.
  • CashFlow from operating activities: Rs 24.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Rs 19.0 cr for period ended Mar 2020

Sales Growth

Profit Growth Statement

Profit Growth Statement

Stock Price CAGR

Return of Equity

General Comments

– The company has improved its Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was 16.0% compared to 0% over the last 3 Years.
– The stock has given a return of 172% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of 19% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is 33% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of 13% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is 46% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of 20% over the last 3 Years.

Ratios

Shareholding Pattern

– FII shareholding has remained largely constant. The Mar 2021 fii holding stood at 0.09% vis-vis 0.09% for Dec 2020
– Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Mar 2021 public holding stood at 47.14% vis-vis 47.14% for Dec 2020

Conclusion

– has reduced debt.
– is almost debt free.
– is expected to give good quarter
– has delivered good profit growth of 18.15% CAGR over last 5 years – The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 11.67% over past five years.

  • The business fundamentals of the stock remain stable. Stronger near term results will build interest in the stock. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
  • Technically, the stock remains above its 50 DMA 68.08 and is trading at 91.2, thus bullish price action wise.
  • Thus, overall we retain a HOLD on the stock.

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