Investment Memo: NRAIL

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Our Rating: HOLD

Mehabe score: 4
G Factor: 6
Piotski Score: 5
The stock has a rating HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 6 and Piotski score of 5.

Description

NR Agarwal Industries Ltd is in the business of manufacturing different kinds of duplex paper boards and writing and printing papers.
The company is among the first and leading manufacturers of recycled paper in India and the largest manufacturer of grey back and white back duplex board for over 2 decades. #

Main Points

Revenue Breakup
Presently, writing & printing paper accounts for ~54% of revenues and Duplex boards accounts for ~44% of revenues.# It forayed into writing and printing paper in 2014 only.#Site: NRAILMain Symbol: NRAGRINDQ

Price Chart

Market Cap: Rs 429 cr Price: 252.0 Trading pe: 7.5x
Book-value: 280/share Div yield: 0.00 % Earning yield: 20.79%
Face-value: 10.0/share 52week high: 284.00 52week low: 170.20

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 252.0, above its 50dma 236.98. It also trades above its 200dma 225.93. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 284.00 and the 52week low is at 170.20

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– has reduced debt.
-Stock is trading at 0.90 times its book value
– has a good return on equity (ROE) track record: 3 Years ROE 25.00%

Weakness

– The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 5.34% over past five years.
-‘s cost of borrowing seems high

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 25.8x. Century Textiles trades at the industry’s max P/E of 284.99x. NRAIL trades at a P/E of 7.5x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 4.9 while the mean Piotski score is 6.0. NRAIL has a G-Factor of 6 and Piotski scoreof 5.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 12.9%. The max 1- month return was given by Century Textiles: a return of 33.03 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Jun 2021 is Rs 392.0 cr compared to Rs 203.0 cr for period ended Jun 2020, a rise of 93.1%
  • Operating Profits reported at Rs 49.0 cr for period ended Jun 2021 vis-vis 36.0 for period ended Jun 2020 .
  • Operating Margins contracted -523.4 bps for period ended Jun 2021 vis-vis Jun 2020 .
  • The EPS for Jun 2021 was Rs 15.27 compared to Rs 5.55 for previous quarter ended Mar 2021 and Rs 9.24 for Jun 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 1335.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 1146.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, a healthy growth of 14.2%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at 0.4%.
  • Operating margins shrank to 11.0% for period ended TTM vis-vis 12.0% for period ended Mar 2021, contraction of 100.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs 67.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 57.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, rising 14.9%.
  • Company reported a poor Net Profit CAGR of -11.0% over the last 3 years

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

  • CashFlow from operating activities was positive.

Sales Growth

Profit Growth Statement

Profit Growth Statement

Stock Price CAGR

Return of Equity

General Comments

– The company has worsened on its Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was 13.0% compared to 25.0% over the last 3 Years.
– The stock has given a return of 21% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of -15% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is -18% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of -1% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is -51% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of -14% over the last 3 Years.

Ratios

Shareholding Pattern

– FII shareholding has remained largely constant. The Jun 2021 fii holding stood at 0.43% vis-vis 0.43% for Mar 2021
– Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Jun 2021 public holding stood at 26.01% vis-vis 26.01% for Mar 2021

Conclusion

– has reduced debt.
-Stock is trading at 0.90 times its book value
– has a good return on equity (ROE) track record: 3 Years ROE 25.00% – The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 5.34% over past five years.
-‘s cost of borrowing seems high

  • The business fundamentals of the stock remain stable. Stronger near term results will build interest in the stock. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
  • Technically, the stock remains above its 50 DMA 236.98 and is trading at 252.0, thus bullish price action wise.
  • Thus, overall we retain a HOLD on the stock.

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