Home Investment Memo: PETRONET

Investment Memo: PETRONET

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Our Rating: HOLD

Mehabe score: 5
G Factor: 6
Piotski Score: 7
The stock has a rating HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 6 and Piotski score of 7.

Description

Petronet LNG is primarily to develop, design, construct, own and operate a Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) import and regasification terminals in India.(Source : 201903 Annual Report Page No: 119)Site: PETRONET

Market Cap: Rs 37,222 cr Price: 248.0 Trading pe: 13.9x
Book-value: 76.6/share Div yield: 5.04 % Earning yield: 10.76%
Face-value: 10.0/share 52week high: 280.75 52week low: 207.25

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 248.0, above its 50dma 239.23. It also trades above its 200dma 241.71. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 280.75 and the 52week low is at 207.25

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– Stock is providing a good dividend yield of 5.04%.
– has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 56.20%

Weakness

– The company has delivered a poor sales growth of -2.20% over past five years.

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 39.5x. Adani Total Gas trades at the industry’s max P/E of 373.81x. PETRONET trades at a P/E of 13.9x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 5.4 while the mean Piotski score is 8.0. PETRONET has a G-Factor of 6 and Piotski scoreof 7.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 9.9%. The max 1- month return was given by Adani Total Gas: a return of 25.23 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Mar 2021 is Rs 7575.0 cr compared to Rs 8567.0 cr for period ended Mar 2020, a fall of 11.6%
  • Operating Profits reported at Rs 1091.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis 698.0 for period ended Mar 2020 .
  • Operating Margins expanded 625.5 bps for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Mar 2020 .
  • The EPS for Mar 2021 was Rs 4.25 compared to Rs 5.88 for previous quarter ended Dec 2020 and Rs 2.49 for Mar 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 26023.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 35452.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, a fall of 36.2%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at -5.3%.
  • Operating margins expanded to 18.0% for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis 11.0% for period ended Mar 2020, expansion of 700.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs 2939.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 2703.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, rising 8.0%.
  • Company recorded a healthy Net Profit CAGR of 11.7% over the last 3 years

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

    Sales Growth

    Profit Growth Statement

    Profit Growth Statement

    Stock Price CAGR

    Return of Equity

    General Comments

    – The company has had stable/constant Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was 26.0% compared to 24.0% over the last 3 Years.
    – The stock has given a return of -4% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of 3% over the last 3 Years.
    – The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is -23% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of 13% over the last 3 Years.
    – The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is -6% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of 17% over the last 3 Years.

    Ratios

    Shareholding Pattern

    – FII shareholding has remained largely constant. The Mar 2021 fii holding stood at 30.5% vis-vis 29.49% for Dec 2020
    – Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Mar 2021 public holding stood at 13.18% vis-vis 13.51% for Dec 2020

    Conclusion

    – Stock is providing a good dividend yield of 5.04%.
    – has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 56.20% – The company has delivered a poor sales growth of -2.20% over past five years.

    • The business fundamentals of the stock remain stable. Stronger near term results will build interest in the stock. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
    • Technically, the stock remains above its 50 DMA 239.23 and is trading at 248.0, thus bullish price action wise.
    • Thus, overall we retain a HOLD on the stock.

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