Home Investment Memo: POLYCAB

Investment Memo: POLYCAB

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Our Rating: HOLD

Mehabe score: 5
G Factor: 4
Piotski Score: 7
The stock has a rating HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 4 and Piotski score of 7.

Description

Polycab is India’s leading manufacturers of cables and wires and allied products such as uPVC conduits and lugs and glands. We have a range of cables and wires for practically every application. More recently Polycab has also launched a wide range of consumer electrical products like Fans, Switches, Switchgear, LED lights and Luminaries, Solar Inverters, and Pumps.

Main Points

Leadership #
Polycab has 25 manufacturing facilities at seven locations. 4 of the 25 facilities manufacture FMEG products. Comprehensive backward integration remains a key priority for the company.Site: POLYCAB

Market Cap: Rs 29,457 cr Price: 1975.0 Trading pe: 33.7x
Book-value: 319/share Div yield: 0.51 % Earning yield: 3.86%
Face-value: 10.0/share 52week high: 2012.00 52week low: 768.00

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 1975.0, above its 50dma 1713.22. It also trades above its 200dma 1340.02. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 2012.00 and the 52week low is at 768.00

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– is almost debt free.
– has delivered good profit growth of 36.45% CAGR over last 5 years

Weakness

– The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 11.40% over past five years.

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 37.1x. Paramount Comm. trades at the industry’s max P/E of 101.48x. POLYCAB trades at a P/E of 33.7x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 4.1 while the mean Piotski score is 7.0. POLYCAB has a G-Factor of 4 and Piotski scoreof 7.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 17.5%. The max 1- month return was given by Paramount Comm.: a return of 44.0 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Mar 2021 is Rs 3037.0 cr compared to Rs 2129.0 cr for period ended Mar 2020, a rise of 42.6%
  • Operating Profits reported at Rs 421.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis 295.0 for period ended Mar 2020 .
  • Operating Margins expanded 0.6 bps for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Mar 2020 .
  • The EPS for Mar 2021 was Rs 18.87 compared to Rs 17.61 for previous quarter ended Dec 2020 and Rs 14.37 for Mar 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 8927.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 8830.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, a growth of 1.1%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at 9.7%.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs 882.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 759.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, rising 13.9%.
  • Company recorded a healthy Net Profit CAGR of 35.1% over the last 3 years

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

  • CashFlow from operating activities was positive.
  • CashFlow from operating activities: Rs 1238.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Rs 245.0 cr for period ended Mar 2020

Sales Growth

Profit Growth Statement

Profit Growth Statement

Stock Price CAGR

Return of Equity

General Comments

– The company has had stable/constant Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was 20.0% compared to 21.0% over the last 3 Years.
– The stock has given a return of 150% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of % over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is 1% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of 10% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is 17% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of 35% over the last 3 Years.

Ratios

Shareholding Pattern

– FII shareholding has remained largely constant. The Mar 2021 fii holding stood at 6.38% vis-vis 6.97% for Dec 2020
– Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Mar 2021 public holding stood at 15.29% vis-vis 14.3% for Dec 2020

Conclusion

– is almost debt free.
– has delivered good profit growth of 36.45% CAGR over last 5 years – The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 11.40% over past five years.

  • The business fundamentals of the stock remain stable. Stronger near term results will build interest in the stock. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
  • Technically, the stock remains above its 50 DMA 1713.22 and is trading at 1975.0, thus bullish price action wise.
  • Thus, overall we retain a HOLD on the stock.

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