Investment Memo: PONNIERODE

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Our Rating: HOLD

Mehabe score: 5
G Factor: 4
Piotski Score: 5
The stock has a rating HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 4 and Piotski score of 5.

Description

Ponni Sugars (Erode) is engaged in the manufacturing and selling of sugar. The Company operates through two segments: Sugar and Cogeneration. The Company’s products include Sugar, Bagasse, Molasses and Power.(Source : Company Web-site)Site: PONNIERODE

Market Cap: Rs 226 cr Price: 263.0 Trading pe: 8.79x
Book-value: 380/share Div yield: 1.52 % Earning yield: 17.55%
Face-value: 10.0/share 52week high: 241.00 52week low: 131.15

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 263.0, above its 50dma 196.92. It also trades above its 200dma 169.69. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 241.00 and the 52week low is at 131.15

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– has reduced debt.
– is almost debt free.
-Stock is trading at 0.69 times its book value
– has delivered good profit growth of 38.54% CAGR over last 5 years

Weakness

– The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 8.65% over past five years.
-Tax rate seems low
– has a low return on equity of 7.81% for last 3 years.

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 15.5x. Bannari Amm.Sug. trades at the industry’s max P/E of 24.49x. PONNIERODE trades at a P/E of 8.79x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 3.6 while the mean Piotski score is 8.0. PONNIERODE has a G-Factor of 4 and Piotski scoreof 5.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 30.1%. The max 1- month return was given by Sh.Renuka Sugar: a return of 102.81 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Mar 2021 is Rs 62.46 cr compared to Rs 63.44 cr for period ended Mar 2020, a fall of 1.5%
  • Operating Profits reported at Rs 11.55 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis 13.1 for period ended Mar 2020 .
  • Operating Margins contracted -215.8 bps for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Mar 2020 .
  • The EPS for Mar 2021 was Rs 9.2 compared to Rs 0.74 for previous quarter ended Dec 2020 and Rs 10.58 for Mar 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 256.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 310.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, a fall of 21.1%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at 9.3%.
  • Operating margins shrank to 12.0% for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis 13.0% for period ended Mar 2020, contraction of 100.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs 26.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 31.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, falling 19.2%.
  • Company recorded a healthy Net Profit CAGR of 105.4% over the last 3 years

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

  • CashFlow from operating activities was positive.
  • CashFlow from operating activities: Rs 29.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Rs 16.0 cr for period ended Mar 2020

Sales Growth

Profit Growth Statement

Profit Growth Statement

Stock Price CAGR

Return of Equity

General Comments

– The company has had stable/constant Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was 9.0% compared to 8.0% over the last 3 Years.
– The stock has given a return of 69% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of 28% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is -17% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of 9% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is -16% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of 23% over the last 3 Years.

Ratios

Shareholding Pattern

– FII shareholding has remained largely constant. The Mar 2021 fii holding stood at 21.17% vis-vis 21.17% for Dec 2020
– Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Mar 2021 public holding stood at 32.93% vis-vis 32.93% for Dec 2020

Conclusion

– has reduced debt.
– is almost debt free.
-Stock is trading at 0.69 times its book value
– has delivered good profit growth of 38.54% CAGR over last 5 years – The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 8.65% over past five years.
-Tax rate seems low
– has a low return on equity of 7.81% for last 3 years.

  • The business fundamentals of the stock remain stable. Stronger near term results will build interest in the stock. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
  • Technically, the stock remains above its 50 DMA 196.92 and is trading at 263.0, thus bullish price action wise.
  • Thus, overall we retain a HOLD on the stock.

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