Investment Memo: PRECAM

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Our Rating: OBSERVE & HOLD

Mehabe score: 5
G Factor: 3
Piotski Score: 5
The stock has a rating OBSERVE & HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 3 and Piotski score of 5.

Description

Incorporated in 1992, Precision Camshafts Limited is manufacturer and supplier of camshafts in India and globally. It supplies more than 150 varieties of camshafts for passenger vehicles, tractors, light commercial vehicles and locomotive engine applications. #

Main Points

Leader in Camshaft business
The company has a market share of ~70% in the Camshaft industry in India and 9% Global market share.
The co. has an export presence in more than 20 countries.#Site: PRECAMMain Symbol: PRECAM

Price Chart

Market Cap: Rs 805 cr Price: 85.2 Trading pe: 352.0x
Book-value: 67.7/share Div yield: 1.17 % Earning yield: 0.93%
Face-value: 10.0/share 52week high: 87.90 52week low: 28.55

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 85.2, above its 50dma 62.37. It also trades above its 200dma 48.24. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 87.90 and the 52week low is at 28.55

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– has reduced debt.
– has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 174.36%

Weakness

– has low interest coverage ratio.
– has a low return on equity of 2.66% for last 3 years.
-Earnings include an other income of Rs.41.00 Cr.

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 32.5x. Precision Camshf trades at the industry’s max P/E of 351.7x. PRECAM trades at a P/E of 352.0x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 3.9 while the mean Piotski score is 7.0. PRECAM has a G-Factor of 3 and Piotski scoreof 5.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 7.7%. The max 1- month return was given by Precision Camshf: a return of 57.98 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Mar 2021 is Rs 219.0 cr compared to Rs 179.0 cr for period ended Mar 2020, a rise of 22.3%
  • Operating Profits reported at Rs 10.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis 27.0 for period ended Mar 2020 .
  • Operating Margins contracted -1051.8 bps for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Mar 2020 .
  • The EPS for Mar 2021 was Rs -1.63 compared to Rs 1.18 for previous quarter ended Dec 2020 and Rs -0.42 for Mar 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 709.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 746.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, a fall of 5.2%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at 19.0%.
  • Operating margins shrank to 9.0% for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis 15.0% for period ended Mar 2020, contraction of 600.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs 2.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 35.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, falling 1650.0%.
  • Company reported a poor Net Profit CAGR of -64.8% over the last 3 years

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

  • CashFlow from operating activities was positive.
  • CashFlow from operating activities: Rs 120.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Rs 58.0 cr for period ended Mar 2020

Sales Growth

Profit Growth Statement

Profit Growth Statement

Stock Price CAGR

Return of Equity

General Comments

– The stock has given a return of 182% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of -1% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is -5% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of 19% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is -93% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of -63% over the last 3 Years.

Ratios

Shareholding Pattern

– FII shareholding has remained largely constant. The Mar 2021 fii holding stood at 0.88% vis-vis 0.88% for Dec 2020
– Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Mar 2021 public holding stood at 33.75% vis-vis 33.28% for Dec 2020

Conclusion

– has reduced debt.
– has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 174.36% – has low interest coverage ratio.
– has a low return on equity of 2.66% for last 3 years.
-Earnings include an other income of Rs.41.00 Cr.

  • Fundamentally, the stock remains weak on business fundamentals. Weak near term results have dampened and questioned business drivers. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
  • Technically, the stock trades above its 50 DMA 62.37 and is trading at 85.2 It has shown near term bullish momentum contrary to business fundamentals. We suggest to observe price action. However as investors, who like to avoid timing the markets, we suggest to avoid the stock
  • Thus, overall, we retain a OBSERVE & HOLD.

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