Investment Memo: RELIANCE

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Our Rating: HOLD

Mehabe score: 4
G Factor: 4
Piotski Score: 6
The stock has a rating HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 4 and Piotski score of 6.

Description

Reliance Industries Limited is a Fortune 500 company and the largest private sector corporation in India. It has evolved from being a textiles and polyester company to an integrated player across energy, materials, retail, entertainment and digital services. Reliance’s products and services portfolio touches almost all Indians on a daily basis, across economic and social spectrums.Site: RELIANCEMain Symbol: RELIANCE

Price Chart

Market Cap: Rs 1,750,685 cr Price: 2627.0 Trading pe: 36.8x
Book-value: 1,041/share Div yield: 0.27 % Earning yield: 3.95%
Face-value: 10.0/share 52week high: 2570.00 52week low: 1830.00

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 2627.0, above its 50dma 2316.41. It also trades above its 200dma 2120.27. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 2570.00 and the 52week low is at 1830.00

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– has reduced debt.

Weakness

– Stock is trading at 2.52 times its book value
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 11.34% over past five years.
-Tax rate seems low
– has a low return on equity of 9.65% for last 3 years.
-Dividend payout has been low at 9.79% of profits over last 3 years

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 5.9x. Reliance Industr trades at the industry’s max P/E of 36.76x. RELIANCE trades at a P/E of 36.8x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 4.3 while the mean Piotski score is 8.0. RELIANCE has a G-Factor of 4 and Piotski scoreof 6.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 12.7%. The max 1- month return was given by H P C L: a return of 18.53 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Sep 2021 is Rs 167611.0 cr compared to Rs 111236.0 cr for period ended Sep 2020, a rise of 50.7%
  • Operating Profits reported at Rs 26020.0 cr for period ended Sep 2021 vis-vis 18945.0 for period ended Sep 2020 .
  • Operating Margins contracted -150.7 bps for period ended Sep 2021 vis-vis Sep 2020 .
  • The EPS for Sep 2021 was Rs 21.58 compared to Rs 19.36 for previous quarter ended Jun 2021 and Rs 15.09 for Sep 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 574995.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 466307.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, a healthy growth of 18.9%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at 0.4%.
  • Operating margins shrank to 16.0% for period ended TTM vis-vis 17.0% for period ended Mar 2021, contraction of 100.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs 52281.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 49128.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, rising 6.0%.
  • Company recorded a Net Profit CAGR of 9.7% over the last 3 years

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

  • CashFlow from operating activities was positive.

Sales Growth

Profit Growth Statement

Profit Growth Statement

Stock Price CAGR

Return of Equity

General Comments

– The company has had stable/constant Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was 8.0% compared to 10.0% over the last 3 Years.
– The stock has given a return of 25% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of 36% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is -2% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of 6% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is 16% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of 7% over the last 3 Years.

Ratios

Shareholding Pattern

– FII shareholding has remained largely constant. The Sep 2021 fii holding stood at 25.41% vis-vis 25.11% for Jun 2021
– Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Sep 2021 public holding stood at 10.6% vis-vis 11.03% for Jun 2021

Conclusion

– has reduced debt. – Stock is trading at 2.52 times its book value
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 11.34% over past five years.
-Tax rate seems low
– has a low return on equity of 9.65% for last 3 years.
-Dividend payout has been low at 9.79% of profits over last 3 years

  • The business fundamentals of the stock remain stable. Stronger near term results will build interest in the stock. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
  • Technically, the stock remains above its 50 DMA 2316.41 and is trading at 2627.0, thus bullish price action wise.
  • Thus, overall we retain a HOLD on the stock.

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