Home Investment Memo: SUPREMEENG

Investment Memo: SUPREMEENG

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Our Rating: HOLD

Mehabe score: 2
G Factor: 4
Piotski Score: 6
The stock has a rating HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 4 and Piotski score of 6.

Description

Supreme Engineering is engaged in the manufacturing and processing of stainless steels wires & bars.Site: SUPREMEENG

Market Cap: Rs 97.7 cr Price: 39.1 Trading pe: 22.9x
Book-value: 21.5/share Div yield: 0.00 % Earning yield: 8.54%
Face-value: 10.0/share 52week high: 42.90 52week low: 14.85

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 39.1, above its 50dma 33.83. It also trades above its 200dma 27.72. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 42.90 and the 52week low is at 14.85

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

Weakness

– has low interest coverage ratio.
– has a low return on equity of 13.69% for last 3 years.
– has high debtors of 208.09 days.

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 14.7x. Apollo Tricoat trades at the industry’s max P/E of 44.87x. SUPREMEENG trades at a P/E of 22.9x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 5.2 while the mean Piotski score is 8.0. SUPREMEENG has a G-Factor of 4 and Piotski scoreof 6.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 13.4%. The max 1- month return was given by Godawari Power: a return of 41.69 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Mar 2021 is Rs 27.59 cr compared to Rs 20.21 cr for period ended Dec 2019, a rise of 36.5%
  • Company reported operating profit of Rs 5.35 cr for period ended Mar 2021, operating profit margin at 19.4 %.
  • Operating profit was negative for the same period last year thus company has improved its margins this year
  • The EPS for Mar 2021 was Rs 1.8 compared to Rs -0.9 for previous quarter ended Dec 2020 and Rs -3.1 for Dec 2019

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 69.99 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 166.9 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, a fall of 138.5%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at -22.7%.
  • Operating margins shrank to 8.8% for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis 9.77% for period ended Mar 2020, contraction of 97.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs -2.95 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 4.25 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, falling 0%.

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

    Sales Growth

    Profit Growth Statement

    Profit Growth Statement

    Stock Price CAGR

    Return of Equity

    General Comments

    – The company has worsened on its Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was 8.0% compared to 14.0% over the last 3 Years.
    – The stock has given a return of 118% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of % over the last 3 Years.
    – The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is -4% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of 12% over the last 3 Years.
    – The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is -35% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of 26% over the last 3 Years.

    Ratios

    Conclusion

    – – has low interest coverage ratio.
    – has a low return on equity of 13.69% for last 3 years.
    – has high debtors of 208.09 days.

    • The business fundamentals of the stock remain stable. Stronger near term results will build interest in the stock. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
    • Technically, the stock remains above its 50 DMA 33.83 and is trading at 39.1, thus bullish price action wise.
    • Thus, overall we retain a HOLD on the stock.

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