Home Investment Memo: TATAMOTORS

Investment Memo: TATAMOTORS

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Our Rating: HOLD

Mehabe score: 5
G Factor: 4
Piotski Score: 6
The stock has a rating HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 4 and Piotski score of 6.

Description

Tata Motors Group is a leading global automobile manufacturer. Part of the illustrious multi-national conglomerate, the Tata group, it offers a wide and diverse portfolio of cars, sports utility vehicles, trucks, buses and defence vehicles to the world.
Site: TATAMOTORS
Main Symbol: TATAMOTORS

Price Chart

Market Cap: Rs 185,168 cr Price: 518.0 Trading pe: x
Book-value: 135/share Div yield: 0.00 % Earning yield: 4.47%
Face-value: 2.00/share 52week high: 536.70 52week low: 255.35

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 518.0, above its 50dma 484.31. It also trades above its 200dma 394.58. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 536.70 and the 52week low is at 255.35

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– is expected to give good quarter

Weakness

– Stock is trading at 3.85 times its book value
– has low interest coverage ratio.
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of -1.76% over past five years.
– has a low return on equity of -27.49% for last 3 years.
– might be capitalizing the interest cost

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 239.0x. Tata Motors trades at the industry’s max P/E of 239.02x. TATAMOTORS trades at a P/E of x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 3.2 while the mean Piotski score is 7.0. TATAMOTORS has a G-Factor of 4 and Piotski scoreof 6.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 4.6%. The max 1- month return was given by Tata Motors-DVR: a return of 8.92 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Sep 2021 is Rs 61379.0 cr compared to Rs 53530.0 cr for period ended Sep 2020, a rise of 14.7% .
  • vis-vis 6098.0 for period ended Sep 2020 .

  • Operating Margins contracted -468.4 bps for period ended Sep 2021 vis-vis Sep 2020.
  • Company reported operating profit of Rs 4117.0 cr for period ended Sep 2021 and operating profit margin at 6.7 % for same period.
  • The EPS for quarter ended Sep 2021 is Rs -13.38 compared to Rs -13.41 for previous quarter ended Jun 2021 and Rs -1.02 for Sep 2020.

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 292067.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 249795.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, a healthy growth of 14.5%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at -1.1%.
  • Operating margins shrank to 12.0% for period ended TTM vis-vis 13.0% for period ended Mar 2021, contraction of 100.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs -13591.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs -13451.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, falling 0%.

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

  • CashFlow from operating activities was positive.
  • CashFlow from operating activities: Rs 29001.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Rs 26633.0 cr for period ended Mar 2020

Sales Growth

Profit Growth Statement

Profit Growth Statement

Stock Price CAGR

Return of Equity

General Comments

– The company has improved its Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was -23.0% compared to -27.0% over the last 3 Years.
– The stock has given a return of 97% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of 42% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is 33% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of -5% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is 22% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of % over the last 3 Years.

Ratios

Shareholding Pattern

– FII shareholding has remained largely constant. The Dec 2021 fii holding stood at 14.57% vis-vis 13.35% for Sep 2021
– Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Dec 2021 public holding stood at 25.24% vis-vis 26.8% for Sep 2021

Conclusion

– is expected to give good quarter – Stock is trading at 3.85 times its book value
– has low interest coverage ratio.
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of -1.76% over past five years.
– has a low return on equity of -27.49% for last 3 years.
– might be capitalizing the interest cost

  • The business fundamentals of the stock remain stable. Stronger near term results will build interest in the stock. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
  • Technically, the stock remains above its 50 DMA 484.31 and is trading at 518.0, thus bullish price action wise.
  • Thus, overall we retain a HOLD on the stock.

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