Investment Memo: THANGAMAYL

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Our Rating: HOLD

Mehabe score: 5
G Factor: 5
Piotski Score: 6
The stock has a rating HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 5 and Piotski score of 6.

Description

Thangamayil Jewellery Limited operates a chain of retail jewellery stores across several districts in Tamil Nadu, a state that have the largest share (40%) of India’s total gold consumption.

Main Points

High Efficiency and Utilization Rates
Utilization of own manufacturing facilities including on job work basis is around 95% as against 90-92% of the earlier years. Overall cost of production has come down due to attainment of scale of economics in the manufacturing facilities. #Site: THANGAMAYL

Market Cap: Rs 1,115 cr Price: 812.0 Trading pe: 12.9x
Book-value: 160/share Div yield: 0.74 % Earning yield: 9.90%
Face-value: 10.0/share 52week high: 951.80 52week low: 243.50

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 812.0, above its 50dma 740.77. It also trades above its 200dma 589.08. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 951.80 and the 52week low is at 243.50

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– is expected to give good quarter
– has delivered good profit growth of 52.40% CAGR over last 5 years
– has a good return on equity (ROE) track record: 3 Years ROE 26.74%
– has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 17.85%

Weakness

– The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 7.44% over past five years.

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 22.5x. Titan Company trades at the industry’s max P/E of 162.64x. THANGAMAYL trades at a P/E of 12.9x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 4.3 while the mean Piotski score is 6.0. THANGAMAYL has a G-Factor of 5 and Piotski scoreof 6.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 6.3%. The max 1- month return was given by Kalyan Jewellers: a return of 19.16 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Mar 2021 is Rs 741.0 cr compared to Rs 359.0 cr for period ended Mar 2020, a rise of 106.4%
  • Operating Profits reported at Rs 28.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis 21.0 for period ended Mar 2020 .
  • Operating Margins contracted -207.1 bps for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Mar 2020 .
  • The EPS for Mar 2021 was Rs 10.02 compared to Rs 19.61 for previous quarter ended Dec 2020 and Rs 6.26 for Mar 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 1821.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 1692.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, a growth of 7.1%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at 9.7%.
  • Operating margins expanded to 8.0% for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis 6.0% for period ended Mar 2020, expansion of 200.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs 87.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 46.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, rising 47.1%.
  • Company recorded a healthy Net Profit CAGR of 55.8% over the last 3 years

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

  • CashFlow from operating activities: Rs 0.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Rs -56.0 cr for period ended Mar 2020

Sales Growth

Profit Growth Statement

Profit Growth Statement

Stock Price CAGR

Return of Equity

General Comments

– The company has improved its Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was 39.0% compared to 27.0% over the last 3 Years.
– The stock has given a return of 209% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of 20% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is 8% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of 10% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is 90% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of 56% over the last 3 Years.

Ratios

Shareholding Pattern

– FII shareholding has remained largely constant. The Mar 2021 fii holding stood at 1.88% vis-vis 1.88% for Dec 2020
– Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Mar 2021 public holding stood at 22.31% vis-vis 21.8% for Dec 2020

Conclusion

– is expected to give good quarter
– has delivered good profit growth of 52.40% CAGR over last 5 years
– has a good return on equity (ROE) track record: 3 Years ROE 26.74%
– has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 17.85% – The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 7.44% over past five years.

  • The business fundamentals of the stock remain stable. Stronger near term results will build interest in the stock. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
  • Technically, the stock remains above its 50 DMA 740.77 and is trading at 812.0, thus bullish price action wise.
  • Thus, overall we retain a HOLD on the stock.

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