Home Investment Memo: WINDMACHIN

Investment Memo: WINDMACHIN

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Our Rating: HOLD

Mehabe score: 4
G Factor: 5
Piotski Score: 6
The stock has a rating HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 5 and Piotski score of 6.

Description

Windsor Machines is engaged in business of manufacturing of plastic processing machinery, which includes pipe extrusion, blown film extrusion and injection moulding machines.Site: WINDMACHIN

Market Cap: Rs 249 cr Price: 38.2 Trading pe: x
Book-value: 41.4/share Div yield: 0.00 % Earning yield: -0.67%
Face-value: 2.00/share 52week high: 45.00 52week low: 11.40

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 38.2, above its 50dma 34.84. It also trades above its 200dma 26.07. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 45.00 and the 52week low is at 11.40

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– has reduced debt.
– is almost debt free.
-Stock is trading at 0.92 times its book value
-Debtor days have improved from 34.84 to 24.64 days.

Weakness

– has low interest coverage ratio.
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 1.79% over past five years.
– has a low return on equity of 2.81% for last 3 years.
-Promoters have pledged 51.26% of their holding.
-‘s cost of borrowing seems high

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 19.5x. GMM Pfaudler trades at the industry’s max P/E of 93.32x. WINDMACHIN trades at a P/E of x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 3.8 while the mean Piotski score is 8.0. WINDMACHIN has a G-Factor of 5 and Piotski scoreof 6.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 7.4%. The max 1- month return was given by ISGEC Heavy: a return of 35.64 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Mar 2021 is Rs 123.0 cr compared to Rs 62.0 cr for period ended Mar 2020, a rise of 98.4%
  • Company reported operating profit of Rs 16.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021, operating profit margin at 13.0 %.
  • Operating profit was negative for the same period last year thus company has improved its margins this year
  • The EPS for Mar 2021 was Rs 2.01 compared to Rs 0.92 for previous quarter ended Dec 2020 and Rs -3.83 for Mar 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 314.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 283.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, a growth of 9.9%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at -7.2%.
  • Operating margins expanded to 9.0% for period ended TTM vis-vis 2.0% for period ended Mar 2020, expansion of 700.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs 11.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs -7.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, rising 163.6%.
  • Company reported a poor Net Profit CAGR of -2.9% over the last 3 years

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

  • CashFlow from operating activities was positive.

Sales Growth

Profit Growth Statement

Profit Growth Statement

Stock Price CAGR

Return of Equity

General Comments

– The company has had stable/constant Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was 5.0% compared to 3.0% over the last 3 Years.
– The stock has given a return of 151% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of -29% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is -25% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of -7% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is -124% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of 14% over the last 3 Years.

Ratios

Shareholding Pattern

– Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Mar 2021 public holding stood at 41.45% vis-vis 41.45% for Dec 2020

Conclusion

– has reduced debt.
– is almost debt free.
-Stock is trading at 0.92 times its book value
-Debtor days have improved from 34.84 to 24.64 days. – has low interest coverage ratio.
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 1.79% over past five years.
– has a low return on equity of 2.81% for last 3 years.
-Promoters have pledged 51.26% of their holding.
-‘s cost of borrowing seems high

  • The business fundamentals of the stock remain stable. Stronger near term results will build interest in the stock. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
  • Technically, the stock remains above its 50 DMA 34.84 and is trading at 38.2, thus bullish price action wise.
  • Thus, overall we retain a HOLD on the stock.

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